Wk 4 · 2026
App State Mountaineers at NC State Wolfpack — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
· ESPNU FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
NCSU -12.5 · total 56.5 DraftKings opened -14 · 1.5 toward APP
Ratings differential NCSU by 12.7
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
App State form
L 3-10vs ODUL 31-41at NCSUW 26-21vs CLTW 27-24at ECUW 55-3vs ME
2026 season
NC State form
L 14-38vs WAKEW 31-28vs LOUW 41-31vs APPL 31-35at VANW 73-0vs RICH
2026 season
App State this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
NC State this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, NC State leads 2–0 · NC State has won the last 2
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.5 points toward NC State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | App State 31 — 41 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
| 2006 | 2006-09-02 | App State 10 — 23 NC State | at NCSU | NC State |
App State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Malachi Singleton QB #3 | 96/132, 1206 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT |
| Henry Hasselbeck QB #8 | 4/5, 51 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jaquari Lewis RB #5 | 47 CAR, 220 YDS, 4 TD |
| Ja'Quez Cross RB #11 | 18 CAR, 105 YDS | |
| Henry Hasselbeck QB #8 | 11 CAR, 78 YDS | |
| Receiving | Sam Pickett III WR #0 | 20 REC, 326 YDS, 3 TD |
| Nate Branch WR #1 | 20 REC, 203 YDS | |
| Darrin Fugitt TE #7 | 16 REC, 192 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Chris Lofton WR #6 | 12 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Colton Phares LB #10 | 23 |
| Alex Mitchell LB #15 | 20 | |
| Devin Henderson DB #7 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Caleb Sandstrom DL #41 | 4 |
| Colton Phares LB #10 | 1 | |
| Carson Sloan LB #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Dre Walker DB #8 | 2 |
| Colton Phares LB #10 | 1 | |
| Khalil Conley DB #6 | 1 |
NC State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | CJ Bailey QB #11 | 98/150, 1266 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT |
| Will Wilson QB #10 | 8/11, 33 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Jayden Scott RB #1 | 62 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 46 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Will Wilson QB #10 | 35 CAR, 166 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Receiving | Keenan Jackson WR #8 | 22 REC, 339 YDS, 5 TD |
| Preston Douglas TE #19 | 19 REC, 241 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Joshisa Trader WR #2 | 16 REC, 221 YDS | |
| Davion Gause RB #7 | 10 REC, 117 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Popo Aguirre LB #0 | 42 |
| Brian Nelson II CB #7 | 24 | |
| Ronnie Royal III S #2 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Satchell LB #58 | 2 |
| Harvey Dyson III LB #5 | 1.5 | |
| Chase Bond DE #92 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jackson Vick CB #22 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt S #29 | 1 | |
| Jaren Sensabaugh CB #14 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.