Wk 5 · 2026
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
8:00pET
UL -4.5 · total 49.5 DraftKings opened -4 · 0.5 toward UL
Ratings differential UL by 8.9
What is at stake
A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Arkansas St form
L 49-56vs USAL 20-23at ULW 17-14vs KENNL 7-31at TCUW 52-7vs WGA
2026 season
Louisiana form
L 31-32at LTW 23-20vs ARSTW 34-7at CLTW 21-14vs UABL 30-49at USC
2026 season
Arkansas St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Louisiana this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-1-1 · 80% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Arkansas St | Louisiana |
|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Sun Belt | vs L 49-56 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Georgia St Sun Belt | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| UL Monroe Sun Belt | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Coastal Sun Belt | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 31-32 preview |
| Troy Sun Belt | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Louisiana leads 15–6 · Louisiana has won the last 3
21 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.0 points toward Louisiana
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | Arkansas St 20 — 23 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2025 | 2025-11-20 | Louisiana 34 — 30 Arkansas St | at ARST | Louisiana |
| 2024 | 2024-11-09 | Arkansas St 19 — 55 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2023 | 2023-11-04 | Louisiana 17 — 37 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Arkansas St 18 — 38 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2021 | 2021-10-21 | Louisiana 28 — 27 Arkansas St | at ARST | Louisiana |
| 2020 | 2020-11-07 | Arkansas St 20 — 27 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2019 | 2019-10-17 | Louisiana 37 — 20 Arkansas St | at ARST | Louisiana |
| 2018 | 2018-10-27 | Arkansas St 43 — 47 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2017 | 2017-10-19 | Louisiana 3 — 47 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2016 | 2016-11-26 | Arkansas St 19 — 24 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2015 | 2015-10-20 | Louisiana 27 — 37 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2014 | 2014-10-21 | Arkansas St 40 — 55 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2013 | 2013-10-22 | Louisiana 23 — 7 Arkansas St | at ARST | Louisiana |
| 2012 | 2012-10-23 | Arkansas St 50 — 27 Louisiana | at UL | Arkansas St |
| 2011 | 2011-11-12 | Louisiana 21 — 30 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2010 | 2010-09-11 | Arkansas St 24 — 31 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2009 | 2009-11-07 | Louisiana 21 — 18 Arkansas St | at ARST | Louisiana |
| 2008 | 2008-10-18 | Arkansas St 23 — 28 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
| 2007 | 2007-10-13 | Louisiana 21 — 52 Arkansas St | at ARST | Arkansas St |
| 2006 | 2006-11-25 | Arkansas St 13 — 28 Louisiana | at UL | Louisiana |
Arkansas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Owens QB #9 | 121/176, 1461 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT |
| Rushing | Solomon Baggett RB #23 | 46 CAR, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Trey Owens QB #9 | 38 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD | |
| James Lee RB #27 | 17 CAR, 123 YDS | |
| Receiving | Hunter Summers WR #3 | 29 REC, 408 YDS, 3 TD |
| Chauncy Cobb WR #2 | 27 REC, 307 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaylen Bonelli WR #10 | 20 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jabari Bush TE #17 | 9 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Joe Drew S #16 | 59 |
| Five Hamilton S #5 | 35 | |
| AG McGhee S #6 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Ryan Reese DT #54 | 1.5 |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 | |
| Elias Sherman DT #92 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brandon Greil S #15 | 1 |
| Dontrae Henderson CB #0 | 1 | |
| Robert Stevens LB #23 | 1 |
Louisiana leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Lunch Winfield QB #7 | 83/110, 844 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| Daniel Beale QB #11 | 5/8, 52 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Lunch Winfield QB #7 | 69 CAR, 364 YDS, 7 TD |
| Anthony Reagan Jr. RB #22 | 39 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darrell Smith RB #0 | 30 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | KeDarius Wade WR #9 | 7 REC, 125 YDS |
| Russell Babineaux WR #10 | 14 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Caden Jensen TE #88 | 10 REC, 110 YDS | |
| Brock Chappell TE #83 | 9 REC, 100 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Conor McPherson LB #6 | 31 |
| Brent Gordon Jr. CB #11 | 29 | |
| Collin Jacob S #35 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Ashley Williams LB #2 | 1.5 |
| Lance Williams DE #9 | 1 | |
| Avery Demery CB #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Brent Gordon Jr. CB #11 | 2 |
| Jake St. Andre LB #44 | 1 | |
| Collin Jacob S #35 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.