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Wk 9 · 2026

Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 3-2
at
TBDET
CLEM -1.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential FSU by 2.9

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Clemson: +4.0#53
Efficiency margin
Florida St: +4.5#48
Clemson: 31.2
Offense (pts/100)
Florida St: 34.5
Clemson: 18.2
Defense (pts/100)
Florida St: 21.0
Clemson: 66.6
Pace (plays/g)
Florida St: 64.7
Clemson: 4.82
Yards / play
Florida St: 6.33
Clemson: 5.49
Yards / play allowed
Florida St: 6.12
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Clemson: 19.4
Points / game
Florida St: 31.0
Clemson: 25.8
Points allowed
Florida St: 25.3
Clemson: 321
Yards / game
Florida St: 410
Clemson: 382
Yards allowed
Florida St: 410
Clemson: 217
Pass yds allowed
Florida St: 245
Clemson: 165
Rush yds allowed
Florida St: 166
Clemson: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Florida St: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Clemson form

L 13-41vs MIAW 24-10at CALW 28-20vs UNCW 22-7vs GASOL 10-51at LSU
2026 season

Florida St form

L 20-44at LOUW 38-7vs UVAW 34-7vs CARKL 36-50at ALAL 24-27vs SMU
2026 season

Clemson this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Florida St this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentClemsonFlorida St
Miami
ACC
vs L 13-41 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Clemson leads 13–6 · Clemson has won the last 2
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.8 points toward Clemson
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-08Florida St 10 — 24 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20242024-10-05Clemson 29 — 13 Florida Stat FSUClemson
20232023-09-23Florida St 31 — 24 Clemsonat CLEMFlorida St
20222022-10-15Clemson 34 — 28 Florida Stat FSUClemson
20212021-10-30Florida St 20 — 30 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20192019-10-12Florida St 14 — 45 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20182018-10-27Clemson 59 — 10 Florida Stat FSUClemson
20172017-11-11Florida St 14 — 31 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20162016-10-29Clemson 37 — 34 Florida Stat FSUClemson
20152015-11-07Florida St 13 — 23 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20142014-09-20Clemson 17 — 23 Florida Stat FSUFlorida St
20132013-10-19Florida St 51 — 14 Clemsonat CLEMFlorida St
20122012-09-22Clemson 37 — 49 Florida Stat FSUFlorida St
20112011-09-24Florida St 30 — 35 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20102010-11-13Clemson 13 — 16 Florida Stat FSUFlorida St
20092009-11-07Florida St 24 — 40 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20082008-11-08Clemson 27 — 41 Florida Stat FSUFlorida St
20072007-09-03Florida St 18 — 24 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20062006-09-16Clemson 27 — 20 Florida Stat FSUClemson

Clemson leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTait Reynolds QB #283/128, 816 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
Christopher Vizzina QB #1714/23, 102 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingGideon Davidson RB #866 CAR, 371 YDS, 4 TD
Chris Johnson Jr. RB #1622 CAR, 101 YDS
Jarvis Green RB #2121 CAR, 88 YDS
ReceivingBryant Wesco Jr. WR #1225 REC, 315 YDS
T.J. Moore WR #125 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Tyler Brown WR #621 REC, 188 YDS
Olsen Patt-Henry TE #117 REC, 62 YDS
Defense
TacklesCorey Myrick S #2243
Sammy Brown LB #4740
Jeremiah Alexander LB #735
SacksWill Heldt DE #134
Jahiem Lawson DE #151
Ronan Hanafin S #51
InterceptionsElliot Washington II CB #33
Ashton Hampton CB #21

Florida St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAshton Daniels QB #1491/153, 1320 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT
Kevin Sperry QB #92/3, 14 YDS
RushingOusmane Kromah RB #32100 CAR, 565 YDS, 5 TD
Ashton Daniels QB #1470 CAR, 323 YDS, 10 TD
Quintrevion Wisner RB #529 CAR, 141 YDS
ReceivingJayvan Boggs WR #1516 REC, 299 YDS, 1 TD
Duce Robinson WR #017 REC, 294 YDS, 2 TD
Micahi Danzy WR #819 REC, 293 YDS, 2 TD
Samuel Singleton Jr. RB #38 REC, 162 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCJ Richard Jr. DB #1138
Chris Jones LB #1037
Omar Graham Jr. LB #931
SacksRylan Kennedy DL #155
Mikai Gbayor LB #282
Mandrell Desir DL #32
InterceptionsQuindarrius Jones DB #01
Nehemiah Chandler DB #121
Ashlynd Barker DB #71
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.