Wk 1 · 2026
Florida International Panthers at South Florida Bulls — Sat, Sep 5
Sat, Sep 5 ·
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
USF -14.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened -13.5 · 1 toward USF
Ratings differential USF by 11.6
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
FIU form
W 22-3vs NMSUW 20-3vs LIUL 10-16at FAUW 33-20vs BUFL 9-19at USF
2026 season
South Florida form
L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season
FIU this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
South Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, South Florida leads 3–0 · South Florida has won the last 3
3 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.3 points toward South Florida
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-05 | FIU 9 — 19 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2008 | 2008-09-20 | South Florida 17 — 9 FIU | at FIU | South Florida |
| 2006 | 2006-09-09 | FIU 20 — 21 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
FIU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | JJ Kohl QB #17 | 92/161, 1180 YDS, 5 TD, 7 INT |
| Zach Marker QB #11 | 7/11, 97 YDS | |
| Rushing | Anthony Carrie RB #1 | 72 CAR, 232 YDS, 1 TD |
| Devonte Lyons RB #3 | 50 CAR, 195 YDS | |
| Sterling Joseph RB #22 | 19 CAR, 68 YDS | |
| Receiving | Maguire Anderson WR #2 | 25 REC, 401 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jojo Stone WR #0 | 13 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Tyson Carter WR #13 | 9 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Greg Gaines III WR #8 | 8 REC, 117 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | DeAndre Boykins DB #2 | 29 |
| Pickle Stewart LB #18 | 25 | |
| Percy Courtney Jr. LB #11 | 20 | |
| Sacks | DeeJay Holmes Jr. DL #33 | 5 |
| Kenton Simmons DE #5 | 4 | |
| Elisha Baldridge DL #97 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | DeAndre Boykins DB #2 | 1 |
| Demetrius Hill DB #3 | 1 | |
| Wesley Miller DB #4 | 1 |
South Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 93/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD |
| Luke Kromenhoek QB #17 | 2/4, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | D.J. Crowther RB #5 | 94 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD |
| Jason Collins Jr. RB #2 | 41 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 39 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Bryson Rodgers WR #1 | 27 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD |
| Joshua Porter WR #80 | 20 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Seldon WR #0 | 8 REC, 116 YDS | |
| Arhmad Branch WR #4 | 11 REC, 108 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Ayden Jackson DB #5 | 37 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 32 | |
| Zavier Hamilton LB #25 | 30 | |
| Sacks | Michael Williams II DE #4 | 2.5 |
| Asani Redwood DT #11 | 2 | |
| Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.