Wk 3 · 2026
Georgia State Panthers at UCF Knights — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Acrisure Bounce House, Orlando, FL
· ESPN+ FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
UCF -17.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -21 · 3.5 toward GAST
Ratings differential UCF by 9.2
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Georgia St form
W 42-10vs ODUW 35-14vs NIUL 30-44at UCFW 31-17at KENNW 59-10vs NCAT
2026 season
UCF form
L 28-42at OKSTL 17-27at HOUW 21-13vs TCUW 44-30vs GASTL 7-12at PITT
2026 season
Georgia St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
UCF this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, UCF leads 1–0 · UCF won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
14.0 points toward UCF
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | Georgia St 30 — 44 UCF | at UCF | UCF |
Georgia St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Cameran Brown QB #8 | 89/131, 1157 YDS, 12 TD, 4 INT |
| DJ Riles WR #10 | 1/1, 50 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Lanear McCrary Jr. RB #5 | 69 CAR, 361 YDS, 3 TD |
| Qwantavius Wiggins RB #24 | 41 CAR, 235 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameran Brown QB #8 | 26 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Rodshaun Dorsey WR #9 | 18 REC, 276 YDS, 6 TD |
| DJ Riles WR #10 | 17 REC, 200 YDS | |
| Derrick Avery Jr. WR #13 | 10 REC, 179 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Washington WR #4 | 7 REC, 107 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jaydon Hood LB #34 | 29 |
| Coby Owens LB #20 | 26 | |
| Deuce Lee S #8 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Xavier Esqillion LB #4 | 7 |
| Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson DE #1 | 5 | |
| Kelan Butler LB #45 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Deuce Lee S #8 | 1 |
| Donovan Faria S #13 | 1 |
UCF leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Keyone Jenkins QB #12 | 53/76, 541 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Alonza Barnett III QB #14 | 31/49, 344 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Duke Watson RB #26 | 49 CAR, 404 YDS, 3 TD |
| Landen Chambers RB #11 | 24 CAR, 138 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Taevion Swint RB #4 | 25 CAR, 135 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Josh Derry WR #5 | 17 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD |
| Waden Charles WR #9 | 14 REC, 169 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ric'Darious Farmer WR #6 | 9 REC, 95 YDS | |
| Caden Piening TE #18 | 9 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tackett Curtis LB #24 | 33 |
| Demari Henderson DB #8 | 29 | |
| Lewis Carter LB #20 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Isaiah Nixon EDGE #6 | 2.5 |
| Aymeric Koumba EDGE #12 | 1.5 | |
| Demari Henderson DB #8 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Demari Henderson DB #8 | 2 |
| Jayden Williams DB #2 | 1 | |
| Jayden Bellamy DB #1 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.