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Wk 13 · 2026

Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern Wildcats — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Ryan Field, Evanston, IL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
ILL -3.5 · total 52.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NU by 11.2
Big Ten · 4-1

What is at stake

Land of Lincoln Trophy. Chicago's Big Ten game: a stovepipe-hat trophy, 140 miles of separation, and bragging rights over every alumni bar in the state. They play for the Land of Lincoln Trophy. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Illinois: +4.9#47
Efficiency margin
Northwestern: +13.7#20
Illinois: 34.5
Offense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 37.8
Illinois: 20.6
Defense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 15.1
Illinois: 62.2
Pace (plays/g)
Northwestern: 61.8
Illinois: 6.52
Yards / play
Northwestern: 7.08
Illinois: 5.82
Yards / play allowed
Northwestern: 5.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Illinois: 31.8
Points / game
Northwestern: 35.4
Illinois: 27.8
Points allowed
Northwestern: 16.2
Illinois: 406
Yards / game
Northwestern: 437
Illinois: 375
Yards allowed
Northwestern: 381
Illinois: 248
Pass yds allowed
Northwestern: 233
Illinois: 127
Rush yds allowed
Northwestern: 147
Illinois: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Northwestern: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Illinois form

W 38-37at MSUL 17-24vs PURL 19-42at OSUW 48-10vs SIUL 27-31vs DUKE
2026 season

Northwestern form

W 45-14vs BALLW 34-13vs PSUL 23-29at IUW 41-7vs COLOW 34-18vs SDST
2026 season

Illinois this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Northwestern this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentIllinoisNorthwestern
Ohio State
Big Ten
at L 19-42 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Michigan St
Big Ten
at W 38-37 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oregon
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Iowa
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Northwestern leads 12–8 · Illinois has won the last 2
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.0 points toward Northwestern
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29Northwestern 13 — 20 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20242024-11-30Illinois 38 — 28 NorthwesternneutralIllinois
20232023-11-25Northwestern 45 — 43 Illinoisat ILLNorthwestern
20222022-11-26Illinois 41 — 3 Northwesternat NUIllinois
20212021-11-27Northwestern 14 — 47 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20202020-12-12Illinois 10 — 28 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20192019-11-30Northwestern 29 — 10 Illinoisat ILLNorthwestern
20182018-11-24Illinois 16 — 24 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20172017-11-25Northwestern 42 — 7 Illinoisat ILLNorthwestern
20162016-11-26Illinois 21 — 42 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20152015-11-28Northwestern 24 — 14 IllinoisneutralNorthwestern
20142014-11-29Illinois 47 — 33 Northwesternat NUIllinois
20132013-11-30Northwestern 37 — 34 Illinoisat ILLNorthwestern
20122012-11-24Illinois 14 — 50 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20112011-10-01Northwestern 35 — 38 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20102010-11-20Illinois 48 — 27 Northwesternat NUIllinois
20092009-11-14Northwestern 21 — 16 Illinoisat ILLNorthwestern
20082008-11-22Illinois 10 — 27 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20072007-11-17Northwestern 22 — 41 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20062006-11-18Illinois 16 — 27 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern

Illinois leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKatin Houser QB #4102/155, 1246 YDS, 11 TD, 3 INT
RushingAidan Laughery RB #2145 CAR, 321 YDS, 1 TD
Ca'Lil Valentine RB #550 CAR, 225 YDS, 1 TD
Katin Houser QB #425 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCollin Dixon WR #1740 REC, 546 YDS, 8 TD
Hudson Clement WR #1321 REC, 299 YDS
Ty Robinson WR #1011 REC, 159 YDS, 3 TD
Brayden Trimble WR #1115 REC, 116 YDS
Defense
TacklesMatthew Bailey DB #737
Ismael Kante LB #2629
Juice Clarke DB #624
SacksWill Holmes DL #241
Ean Rhea LB #401
Joe Barna DL #430.5
InterceptionsMatthew Bailey DB #71
Ismael Kante LB #261

Northwestern leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #063/89, 900 YDS, 6 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe RB #552 CAR, 290 YDS, 2 TD
Joseph Himon II RB #620 CAR, 277 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Sawchuk RB #2733 CAR, 170 YDS
ReceivingGriffin Wilde WR #1716 REC, 281 YDS, 2 TD
Luke Dehnicke TE #8411 REC, 208 YDS
Alex Honig TE #867 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Drew Wagner WR #1912 REC, 97 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Fitzgerald DB #642
Kobie McKinzie LB #232
Braydon Brus LB #3330
SacksBraydon Brus LB #333
Kobie McKinzie LB #21
Jamaal Johnson DL #241
InterceptionsOre Adeyi DB #71
Robert Fitzgerald DB #61
Braydon Brus LB #331
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.