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Wk 7 · 2026

Kent State Golden Flashes at South Florida Bulls — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL · ESPN+

Weather at kickoff

76°F light drizzle
23% chance of precipitation · wind 3 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 23.2
American · 4-2

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Kent State: -21.2#134
Efficiency margin
South Florida: -0.4#72
Kent State: 19.0
Offense (pts/100)
South Florida: 30.0
Kent State: 31.2
Defense (pts/100)
South Florida: 21.4
Kent State: 62.8
Pace (plays/g)
South Florida: 59.5
Kent State: 4.47
Yards / play
South Florida: 5.63
Kent State: 6.24
Yards / play allowed
South Florida: 5.38
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Kent State: 13.7
Points / game
South Florida: 26.2
Kent State: 32.5
Points allowed
South Florida: 17.3
Kent State: 281
Yards / game
South Florida: 335
Kent State: 380
Yards allowed
South Florida: 341
Kent State: 227
Pass yds allowed
South Florida: 184
Kent State: 152
Rush yds allowed
South Florida: 158
Kent State: 1.67
Turnovers / game
South Florida: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Kent State form

L 7-38at WMUL 10-13vs OHIOW 26-13vs BALLL 3-59at OSUW 36-15vs WOF
2026 season

South Florida form

L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season

Kent State this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

South Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentKent StateSouth Florida
Bowling Green
MAC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat W 14-6 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Kent State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDru DeShields QB #1270/120, 757 YDS, 3 TD, 5 INT
Da'Realyst Clark WR #81/1, 29 YDS
RushingDru DeShields QB #1239 CAR, 183 YDS, 3 TD
Mason King RB #039 CAR, 166 YDS, 1 TD
Brandon White RB #2240 CAR, 126 YDS
ReceivingDa'Realyst Clark WR #819 REC, 246 YDS, 1 TD
Wayne Harris WR #616 REC, 204 YDS, 1 TD
Ardell Banks WR #17 REC, 167 YDS
Terik Mulder TE #896 REC, 61 YDS
Defense
TacklesRocco Nicholl LB #424
Joel Cordoba DB #224
A'tiq Muhammad DB #122
SacksRocco Nicholl LB #43
Jaihien Roy DL #332
Semaj Bridgeman LB #171
InterceptionsNorey Johnson DB #181
Rafael Terrero Jr. LB #201
Jaihien Roy DL #331

South Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. QB #393/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD
Luke Kromenhoek QB #172/4, 21 YDS
RushingD.J. Crowther RB #594 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
Jason Collins Jr. RB #241 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #339 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers WR #127 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD
Joshua Porter WR #8020 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Seldon WR #08 REC, 116 YDS
Arhmad Branch WR #411 REC, 108 YDS
Defense
TacklesAyden Jackson DB #537
Tavin Ward S #232
Zavier Hamilton LB #2530
SacksMichael Williams II DE #42.5
Asani Redwood DT #112
Tayvion Beasley DB #151
InterceptionsTayvion Beasley DB #151
Tavin Ward S #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.