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Wk 3 · 2026

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Baylor Bears — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · McLane Stadium, Waco, TX · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 3-2
19
at
4:00pET
BAY -19.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -17.5 · 2 toward BAY
Ratings differential BAY by 15.1
Big 12 · 4-1
36

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Louisiana Tech: -3.7#85
Efficiency margin
Baylor: +9.0#34
Louisiana Tech: 29.9
Offense (pts/100)
Baylor: 37.0
Louisiana Tech: 24.6
Defense (pts/100)
Baylor: 19.0
Louisiana Tech: 65.2
Pace (plays/g)
Baylor: 80.8
Louisiana Tech: 6.19
Yards / play
Baylor: 5.71
Louisiana Tech: 5.57
Yards / play allowed
Baylor: 4.52
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Louisiana Tech: 35.2
Points / game
Baylor: 34.8
Louisiana Tech: 29.4
Points allowed
Baylor: 14.2
Louisiana Tech: 403
Yards / game
Baylor: 461
Louisiana Tech: 379
Yards allowed
Baylor: 327
Louisiana Tech: 213
Pass yds allowed
Baylor: 229
Louisiana Tech: 166
Rush yds allowed
Baylor: 97
Louisiana Tech: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Baylor: 1.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Louisiana Tech form

W 32-31vs ULW 31-29vs ARMYL 19-36at BAYL 14-45at LSUW 80-6vs NWST
2026 season

Baylor form

W 55-19at ASUW 23-13vs COLOW 36-19vs LTW 44-3vs PVL 16-17at AUB
2026 season

Louisiana Tech this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)

Baylor this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Baylor leads 1–0 · Baylor won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 17.0 points toward Baylor
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19Louisiana Tech 19 — 36 Baylorat BAYBaylor

Louisiana Tech leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTrey Kukuk QB #248/73, 468 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Blake Baker QB #521/36, 360 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingDylone Brooks RB #2616 CAR, 169 YDS, 2 TD
Trey Kukuk QB #232 CAR, 167 YDS, 1 TD
Andrew Burnette RB #129 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJalen Mickens WR #1121 REC, 342 YDS, 2 TD
Eli Finley TE #8418 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Talyn Shettron WR #869 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
Dylone Brooks RB #265 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJadon Mayfield LB #2231
Kolbe Fields LB #1030
Alonzo Jackson Jr. LB #2328
SacksAlonzo Jackson Jr. LB #234
Lane Condry DL #922
Kolbe Fields LB #101
InterceptionsJordan McRae DB #02
Kam Franklin DB #41
Alonzo Jackson Jr. LB #231

Baylor leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDJ Lagway QB #271/133, 860 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT
Nate Bennett QB #1247/62, 581 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingDawson Pendergrass RB #3581 CAR, 316 YDS, 1 TD
Caden Knighten RB #1149 CAR, 244 YDS, 2 TD
Ryelan Morris RB #2522 CAR, 182 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingGavin Freeman WR #642 REC, 479 YDS, 2 TD
Louis Brown IV WR #415 REC, 253 YDS, 3 TD
Jayden McGowan WR #159 REC, 210 YDS, 4 TD
Jadon Porter WR #39 REC, 172 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesTravion Barnes LB #533
Micah Gifford S #2430
Devon Jordan CB #722
SacksDaniel Cobbs S #143
Bo Onu S #213
Devonte Tezino DL #592
InterceptionsDevon Jordan CB #72
Reggie Bush II CB #221
Micah Gifford S #241
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.