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Wk 13 · 2026

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UK by 4.4

What is at stake

Governor's Cup. The Governor's Cup, an ACC school and an SEC school 75 miles apart, and a rivalry the state legislature once had to force back into existence. They play for the Governor's Cup (Kentucky). A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Louisville: +8.6#37
Efficiency margin
Kentucky: +10.6#29
Louisville: 38.6
Offense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 36.8
Louisville: 21.1
Defense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 17.2
Louisville: 63.5
Pace (plays/g)
Kentucky: 65.5
Louisville: 7.79
Yards / play
Kentucky: 6.32
Louisville: 5.60
Yards / play allowed
Kentucky: 5.31
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Louisville: 39.5
Points / game
Kentucky: 34.7
Louisville: 27.7
Points allowed
Kentucky: 28.0
Louisville: 494
Yards / game
Kentucky: 414
Louisville: 413
Yards allowed
Kentucky: 382
Louisville: 257
Pass yds allowed
Kentucky: 246
Louisville: 156
Rush yds allowed
Kentucky: 136
Louisville: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Kentucky: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Louisville form

W 44-20vs FSUL 28-31at NCSUL 27-30vs WAKEW 41-31vs SMUW 59-13vs VILL
2026 season

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

Louisville this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Kentucky leads 10–9 · Louisville has won the last 2
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.5 points toward Louisville
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29Kentucky 0 — 41 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20242024-11-30Louisville 41 — 14 Kentuckyat UKLouisville
20232023-11-25Kentucky 38 — 31 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20222022-11-26Louisville 13 — 26 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20212021-11-27Kentucky 52 — 21 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20192019-11-30Louisville 13 — 45 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20182018-11-24Kentucky 56 — 10 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20172017-11-25Louisville 44 — 17 Kentuckyat UKLouisville
20162016-11-26Kentucky 41 — 38 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20152015-11-28Louisville 38 — 24 Kentuckyat UKLouisville
20142014-11-29Kentucky 40 — 44 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20132013-09-14Louisville 27 — 13 Kentuckyat UKLouisville
20122012-09-02Kentucky 14 — 32 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20112011-09-17Louisville 24 — 17 Kentuckyat UKLouisville
20102010-09-04Kentucky 23 — 16 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20092009-09-19Louisville 27 — 31 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20082008-08-31Kentucky 27 — 2 Louisvilleat LOUKentucky
20072007-09-15Louisville 34 — 40 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20062006-09-03Kentucky 28 — 59 Louisvilleat LOULouisville

Louisville leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLincoln Kienholz QB #3107/154, 1534 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT
Briggs Cherry QB #102/2, 24 YDS
RushingIsaac Brown RB #174 CAR, 557 YDS, 4 TD
Keyjuan Brown RB #538 CAR, 367 YDS, 3 TD
Lincoln Kienholz QB #361 CAR, 198 YDS, 8 TD
ReceivingTre Richardson WR #029 REC, 445 YDS, 2 TD
Lawayne McCoy WR #720 REC, 420 YDS, 4 TD
TreyShun Hurry WR #224 REC, 271 YDS
Jaleel Skinner TE #1815 REC, 259 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesT.J. Capers LB #1148
Stanquan Clark LB #643
Kaleb Beasley DB #1043
SacksClev Lubin DL #504
Tyler Thompson DL #32.5
Benjamin Perry LB #232
InterceptionsKaleb Beasley DB #104
Stanquan Clark LB #61

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.