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Wk 3 · 2026

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
CIN -14.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -15.5 · 1 toward M-OH
Ratings differential CIN by 15.0
Big 12 · 4-1
35

What is at stake

Battle for the Victory Bell. The oldest rivalry west of the Alleghenies, first played in 1888 — and this one is the last game currently scheduled between them, moved to FC Cincinnati's soccer stadium for the finale. They play for the Victory Bell. A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Miami OH: -10.0#107
Efficiency margin
Cincinnati: +2.6#62
Miami OH: 25.2
Offense (pts/100)
Cincinnati: 33.5
Miami OH: 26.2
Defense (pts/100)
Cincinnati: 21.9
Miami OH: 57.5
Pace (plays/g)
Cincinnati: 65.0
Miami OH: 6.13
Yards / play
Cincinnati: 6.58
Miami OH: 6.07
Yards / play allowed
Cincinnati: 5.84
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Miami OH: 25.7
Points / game
Cincinnati: 33.8
Miami OH: 27.5
Points allowed
Cincinnati: 23.2
Miami OH: 353
Yards / game
Cincinnati: 428
Miami OH: 387
Yards allowed
Cincinnati: 402
Miami OH: 284
Pass yds allowed
Cincinnati: 260
Miami OH: 103
Rush yds allowed
Cincinnati: 142
Miami OH: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Cincinnati: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Miami OH form

W 20-19at MASSL 20-24vs BGSUW 24-21vs CONNL 31-35at CINW 45-7vs HC
2026 season

Cincinnati form

L 7-34at ARIZW 31-26vs KSUW 35-31vs M-OHW 62-10vs WCUW 34-15vs BC
2026 season

Miami OH this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Cincinnati this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Cincinnati leads 18–1 · Cincinnati has won the last 2
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 18.4 points toward Cincinnati
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19Miami OH 31 — 35 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20242024-09-14Cincinnati 27 — 16 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20232023-09-16Miami OH 31 — 24 Cincinnatiat CINMiami OH
20222022-09-17Cincinnati 38 — 17 Miami OHneutralCincinnati
20212021-09-04Miami OH 14 — 49 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20192019-09-14Miami OH 13 — 35 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20182018-09-08Cincinnati 21 — 0 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20172017-09-16Cincinnati 21 — 17 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20162016-09-24Miami OH 20 — 27 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20152015-09-19Cincinnati 37 — 33 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20142014-09-20Miami OH 24 — 31 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20132013-09-21Cincinnati 14 — 0 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20122012-10-06Miami OH 14 — 52 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20112011-10-01Cincinnati 27 — 0 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20102010-10-09Miami OH 3 — 45 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20092009-10-03Cincinnati 37 — 13 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20082008-09-20Miami OH 20 — 45 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati
20072007-09-15Cincinnati 47 — 10 Miami OHat M-OHCincinnati
20062006-09-30Miami OH 10 — 24 Cincinnatiat CINCincinnati

Miami OH leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDavid McComb QB #1665/103, 1121 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
Caleb Heavner QB #624/33, 234 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingRodney Nelson RB #044 CAR, 154 YDS
Lazaro Rogers RB #2120 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
D'Shawntae Jones RB #926 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDamarion Witten WR #812 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD
Lynel Billups-Williams WR #1019 REC, 265 YDS, 2 TD
Maleek Huggins WR #114 REC, 262 YDS, 1 TD
Braylon Isom WR #1810 REC, 153 YDS
Defense
TacklesMalcolm McCain LB #339
Blayne Myrick LB #1524
Dillon Tatum DB #123
SacksGrant Lyons LB #432
Tyler Dikos LB #352
Roosevelt Andrews III DL #921.5
InterceptionsCJ Young LB #81

Cincinnati leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJC French IV QB #486/123, 949 YDS, 6 TD
Liam O'Brien QB #105/5, 18 YDS
RushingGi'Bran Payne RB #662 CAR, 392 YDS, 2 TD
Cole Tabb RB #334 CAR, 330 YDS, 6 TD
JC French IV QB #450 CAR, 193 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingJV Gibson WR #1118 REC, 267 YDS, 3 TD
Isaiah Johnson WR #021 REC, 142 YDS
Malachi Henry WR #96 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
Larenzo Fenner WR #210 REC, 124 YDS
Defense
TacklesJonathan Thompson LB #2237
Antwan Peek Jr. LB #336
Simeon Coleman LB #3132
SacksJosh Hough DL #953
Jonathan Thompson LB #222.5
Drew Logan EDGE #911.5
InterceptionsMJ Cannon DB #22
Marqavious Saboor LB #51
Kenny Worthy CB #81
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.