Wk 4 · 2026
New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM
· CBSSN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
UNM -11.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened +12.5 · 1 toward NMSU
Ratings differential UNM by 20.2
What is at stake
Rio Grande Rivalry. The Lobos and the Aggies are in different conferences and 225 miles apart, and this is still the only game either fan base circles. They play for the Rio Grande Trophy. A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
New Mexico form
W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season
New Mexico St form
L 3-22at FIUW 34-13vs WKUL 18-42vs UNML 19-29at HAWW 51-14vs MERC
2026 season
New Mexico this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
New Mexico St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | New Mexico | New Mexico St |
|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst FCS / Other | vs W 70-7 preview | vs W 51-14 preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at L 19-29 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, New Mexico leads 13–7 · New Mexico has won the last 3
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.9 points toward New Mexico
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | New Mexico 42 — 18 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2025 | 2025-09-27 | New Mexico St 20 — 38 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2024 | 2024-09-28 | New Mexico 50 — 40 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2023 | 2023-09-16 | New Mexico St 27 — 17 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-15 | New Mexico 9 — 21 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico St |
| 2021 | 2021-09-11 | New Mexico St 25 — 34 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2019 | 2019-09-21 | New Mexico St 52 — 55 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2018 | 2018-09-15 | New Mexico 42 — 25 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2017 | 2017-09-09 | New Mexico St 30 — 28 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico St |
| 2016 | 2016-09-10 | New Mexico 31 — 32 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico St |
| 2015 | 2015-10-03 | New Mexico St 29 — 38 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2014 | 2014-09-20 | New Mexico 38 — 35 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2013 | 2013-10-05 | New Mexico St 17 — 66 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2012 | 2012-09-22 | New Mexico 27 — 14 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2011 | 2011-10-01 | New Mexico St 42 — 28 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico St |
| 2010 | 2010-10-09 | New Mexico 14 — 16 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico St |
| 2009 | 2009-09-26 | New Mexico St 20 — 17 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico St |
| 2008 | 2008-09-27 | New Mexico 35 — 24 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
| 2007 | 2007-09-08 | New Mexico St 34 — 44 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2006 | 2006-09-09 | New Mexico 34 — 28 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico |
New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Toa Fa'avae QB #13 | 36/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Moga QB #10 | 23/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Scottre Humphrey RB #22 | 70 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 38 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Mathews RB #23 | 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Bailen George WR #81 | 11 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cade Keith TE #88 | 14 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| DJ Darling WR #14 | 5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Troy Omeire WR #5 | 6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mercury Swaim LB #2 | 25 |
| Jaxton Eck LB #6 | 25 | |
| Tavian Combs S #7 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Brett Karhu DE #45 | 4 |
| Darren Agu DE #10 | 3 | |
| Jalen McIver DT #94 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tavian Combs S #7 | 3 |
| Austin Brawley S #0 | 2 | |
| Jahmir Torres CB #1 | 2 |
New Mexico St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Hedden QB #3 | 65/124, 906 YDS, 5 TD, 6 INT |
| Adam Damante QB #14 | 43/70, 477 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | James Jones RB #2 | 92 CAR, 599 YDS, 3 TD |
| TJ Washington Jr. RB #0 | 39 CAR, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jalen Brown RB #28 | 5 CAR, 68 YDS | |
| Receiving | TK King WR #1 | 20 REC, 286 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josiah Thomas TE #15 | 17 REC, 237 YDS | |
| AJ Williams WR #11 | 12 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Terrione Graves WR #9 | 4 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Session S #5 | 50 |
| Tory Gethers LB #6 | 39 | |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Gabe Peterson DE #16 | 4.5 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 2.5 | |
| Reeves Baller DE #99 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Session S #5 | 2 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 1 | |
| Javon Gillespie CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.