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Wk 10 · 2026

North Carolina Tar Heels at UConn Huskies — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT · CBSSN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNC by 4.9
FBS Indep. · 3-3

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

North Carolina: +4.1#51
Efficiency margin
UConn: -3.2#81
North Carolina: 30.9
Offense (pts/100)
UConn: 31.7
North Carolina: 17.8
Defense (pts/100)
UConn: 25.9
North Carolina: 56.2
Pace (plays/g)
UConn: 65.8
North Carolina: 5.88
Yards / play
UConn: 6.82
North Carolina: 4.91
Yards / play allowed
UConn: 5.63
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

North Carolina: 23.4
Points / game
UConn: 35.7
North Carolina: 19.0
Points allowed
UConn: 25.2
North Carolina: 331
Yards / game
UConn: 449
North Carolina: 356
Yards allowed
UConn: 407
North Carolina: 204
Pass yds allowed
UConn: 290
North Carolina: 152
Rush yds allowed
UConn: 117
North Carolina: 1.60
Turnovers / game
UConn: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

North Carolina form

W 21-17at PITTL 26-37vs NDL 20-28at CLEMW 35-3vs ETSUW 15-10at TCU
2026 season

UConn form

W 34-20at TEML 41-42vs SYRL 21-24at M-OHW 48-20at USML 14-38vs MD
2026 season

North Carolina this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

UConn this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentNorth CarolinaUConn
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 41-42 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, North Carolina leads 2–1 · UConn won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.0 points toward North Carolina
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-12-28UConn 27 — 14 North CarolinaneutralUConn bowl/CFP
20092009-09-12North Carolina 12 — 10 UConnat CONNNorth Carolina
20082008-10-04UConn 12 — 38 North Carolinaat UNCNorth Carolina

North Carolina leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBilly Edwards Jr. QB #961/106, 820 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
Miles O'Neill QB #83/6, 22 YDS
RushingBenjamin Hall RB #743 CAR, 251 YDS
Demon June RB #031 CAR, 128 YDS, 4 TD
Jaylen McGill RB #2717 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp WR #120 REC, 273 YDS
Jelani Thurman TE #4516 REC, 233 YDS, 3 TD
C.J. Sadler WR #145 REC, 87 YDS
Trech Kekahuna WR #26 REC, 71 YDS
Defense
TacklesDerek McDonald LB #1536
Peyton Seelmann LB #1031
Leroy Jackson DL #9123
SacksXavier Lewis DL #906
Jaylen Harvey DL #112
Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #91
InterceptionsGreg Smith DB #12

UConn leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKalieb Osborne QB #781/140, 1164 YDS, 10 TD, 2 INT
Tucker McDonald QB #129/11, 118 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingCyncir Bowers RB #2347 CAR, 349 YDS, 5 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #753 CAR, 243 YDS, 5 TD
Kenji Christian RB #337 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJavon Brown WR #1914 REC, 202 YDS, 2 TD
Shamar Porter WR #59 REC, 196 YDS, 2 TD
JD Willoughby WR #28 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD
Ryder Treadway WR #1112 REC, 163 YDS
Defense
TacklesHayden Pegg LB #3735
K'Von Sherman LB #032
Braedyn Moore DB #430
SacksK'Von Sherman LB #03
Joshua Mickens DE #521
Anas Luqman DL #151
InterceptionsBraedyn Moore DB #41
Anas Luqman DL #151
Renick Dorilas DB #61
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.