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Wk 2 · 2026

Ohio State Buckeyes at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX · ABC FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 5-1
23
at
7:30pET
TEX -2.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1 toward TEX
Ratings differential OSU by 2.6
SEC · 4-1
24

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Ohio State is ranked #5 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Ohio State: +26.7#3
Efficiency margin
Texas: +21.7#7
Ohio State: 44.4
Offense (pts/100)
Texas: 39.5
Ohio State: 8.6
Defense (pts/100)
Texas: 8.7
Ohio State: 68.7
Pace (plays/g)
Texas: 69.8
Ohio State: 7.33
Yards / play
Texas: 5.43
Ohio State: 4.00
Yards / play allowed
Texas: 4.22
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Ohio State: 42.7
Points / game
Texas: 31.4
Ohio State: 13.2
Points allowed
Texas: 16.0
Ohio State: 504
Yards / game
Texas: 379
Ohio State: 247
Yards allowed
Texas: 264
Ohio State: 151
Pass yds allowed
Texas: 168
Ohio State: 96
Rush yds allowed
Texas: 96
Ohio State: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Texas: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Ohio State form

W 45-16vs MDW 31-14at IOWAW 42-19vs ILLW 59-3vs KENTL 23-24at TEX
2026 season

Texas form

L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season

Ohio State this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Texas this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Ohio State leads 3–2 · Texas won the last one
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.8 points toward Ohio State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12Ohio State 23 — 24 Texasat TEXTexas
20252025-08-30Texas 7 — 14 Ohio Stateat OSUOhio State
20242025-01-10Ohio State 28 — 14 TexasneutralOhio State bowl/CFP
20082009-01-05Ohio State 21 — 24 TexasneutralTexas bowl/CFP
20062006-09-09Ohio State 24 — 7 Texasat TEXOhio State

Ohio State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJulian Sayin QB #10103/142, 1530 YDS, 13 TD, 1 INT
Luke Fahey QB #139/11, 203 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
RushingBo Jackson RB #2566 CAR, 353 YDS, 2 TD
Ja'Kobi Jackson RB #2445 CAR, 278 YDS, 6 TD
Isaiah West RB #3222 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith WR #444 REC, 823 YDS, 9 TD
Devin McCuin WR #317 REC, 245 YDS, 2 TD
Brandon Inniss WR #110 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD
Brock Boyd WR #116 REC, 110 YDS
Defense
TacklesEarl Little Jr. S #126
Payton Pierce LB #2626
Jaylen McClain S #820
SacksKenyatta Jackson Jr. DE #23
Riley Pettijohn LB #52
Qua Russaw DE #41
InterceptionsJaylen McClain S #82
Tarvos Alford LB #171
Riley Pettijohn LB #51

Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #1673/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Karle Lacey Jr. QB #97/8, 63 YDS
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #241 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
Raleek Brown RB #048 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Arch Manning QB #1632 CAR, 82 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #119 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Coleman WR #812 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #312 REC, 173 YDS
Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #46 REC, 81 YDS
Defense
TacklesRasheem Biles LB #329
Jelani McDonald DB #426
Justin Cryer LB #2823
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #17.5
Maraad Watson DL #882
Rasheem Biles LB #31
InterceptionsRasheem Biles LB #32
Graceson Littleton DB #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.