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Wk 1 · 2026

Oregon State Beavers at Houston Cougars — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX · ESPNEWS · Disney+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 4-2
20
at
12:00pET
HOU -21 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -20.5 · 0.5 toward HOU
Ratings differential HOU by 8.9
Big 12 · 5-1
33

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Houston is ranked #22 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Oregon St: +7.4#38
Efficiency margin
Houston: +13.9#18
Oregon St: 36.4
Offense (pts/100)
Houston: 39.0
Oregon St: 20.0
Defense (pts/100)
Houston: 16.1
Oregon St: 71.8
Pace (plays/g)
Houston: 70.7
Oregon St: 7.27
Yards / play
Houston: 6.82
Oregon St: 5.02
Yards / play allowed
Houston: 5.40
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Oregon St: 41.8
Points / game
Houston: 40.0
Oregon St: 22.0
Points allowed
Houston: 19.2
Oregon St: 522
Yards / game
Houston: 482
Oregon St: 326
Yards allowed
Houston: 322
Oregon St: 190
Pass yds allowed
Houston: 248
Oregon St: 136
Rush yds allowed
Houston: 74
Oregon St: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Houston: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Oregon St form

W 66-14vs SDSUW 56-26at CSUW 33-7at UTEPW 52-17vs MONTL 24-35vs TTU
2026 season

Houston form

W 35-16at KSUW 27-17vs UCFW 42-28at GASOL 26-28at TTUW 77-6vs SOU
2026 season

Oregon St this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Houston this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentOregon StHouston
Texas Tech
Big 12
vs L 24-35 previewat L 26-28 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Houston leads 2–0 · Houston has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 8.0 points toward Houston
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05Oregon St 20 — 33 Houstonat HOUHouston
20252025-09-26Houston 27 — 24 Oregon Stat ORSTHouston

Oregon St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBraden Atkinson QB #2137/197, 1848 YDS, 16 TD, 2 INT
Maalik Murphy QB #63/4, 28 YDS
RushingAJ Newberry RB #2345 CAR, 271 YDS, 2 TD
Cornell Hatcher Jr. RB #324 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD
Tre Garrison RB #2220 CAR, 78 YDS
ReceivingJesse Legree WR #1228 REC, 741 YDS, 9 TD
Eric Olsen TE #8024 REC, 236 YDS, 3 TD
Aeryn Hampton WR #717 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Newberry RB #2317 REC, 159 YDS
Defense
TacklesAiden Sullivan LB #239
Takari Hickle LB #4426
Gyriece Goodman LB #1226
SacksTakari Hickle LB #443.5
Aiden Sullivan LB #22
Tevita Pome'e DT #591.5
InterceptionsTJ Crandall DB #41
Sailasa Vadrawale III DB #81
Drake Vickers DB #361

Houston leaders 2026 regular season

PassingConner Weigman QB #191/135, 1186 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Keisean Henderson QB #56/8, 83 YDS, 2 TD
RushingRe'Shaun Sanford II RB #655 CAR, 314 YDS, 2 TD
Makhi Hughes RB #2166 CAR, 309 YDS, 2 TD
Conner Weigman QB #142 CAR, 156 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingAmare Thomas WR #027 REC, 330 YDS, 4 TD
Patrick Overmyer TE #925 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD
Trent Walker WR #414 REC, 198 YDS, 1 TD
Koby Young WR #28 REC, 176 YDS, 4 TD
Defense
TacklesKentrell Webb DB #832
Jaden Yates LB #129
Javion White DB #020
SacksJavion White DB #02.5
Ashton Porter DL #92
Khalil Laufau DL #181.5
InterceptionsJordan Allen DB #61
Will James DB #51
Latreveon McCutchin LB #101
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.