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Wk 2 · 2026

San Diego State Aztecs at UCLA Bruins — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA · BTN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 2-4
10
at
7:15pET
UCLA -13.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened -8.5 · 5 toward UCLA
Ratings differential UCLA by 26.7
Big Ten · 5-0
28

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. UCLA is ranked #21 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

San Diego St: -9.4#104
Efficiency margin
UCLA: +14.9#13
San Diego St: 24.8
Offense (pts/100)
UCLA: 38.6
San Diego St: 25.2
Defense (pts/100)
UCLA: 14.6
San Diego St: 60.7
Pace (plays/g)
UCLA: 66.6
San Diego St: 4.58
Yards / play
UCLA: 6.88
San Diego St: 5.90
Yards / play allowed
UCLA: 4.62
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

San Diego St: 22.8
Points / game
UCLA: 39.2
San Diego St: 35.0
Points allowed
UCLA: 18.0
San Diego St: 278
Yards / game
UCLA: 458
San Diego St: 478
Yards allowed
UCLA: 308
San Diego St: 299
Pass yds allowed
UCLA: 220
San Diego St: 179
Rush yds allowed
UCLA: 88
San Diego St: 1.50
Turnovers / game
UCLA: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

San Diego St form

L 14-66at ORSTW 31-29vs TXSTL 16-41at TOLL 13-26vs JMUL 10-28at UCLA
2026 season

UCLA form

W 17-15at OREW 54-3at MDW 52-38vs PURW 28-10vs SDSUW 45-24at CAL
2026 season

San Diego St this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

UCLA this season

Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-0-1 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UCLA leads 3–1 · UCLA has won the last 2
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 13.2 points toward UCLA
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12San Diego St 10 — 28 UCLAat UCLAUCLA
20232023-09-09UCLA 35 — 10 San Diego Stat SDSUUCLA
20192019-09-07San Diego St 23 — 14 UCLAat UCLASan Diego St
20092009-09-05San Diego St 14 — 33 UCLAat UCLAUCLA

San Diego St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Denegal QB #471/122, 709 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT
Draiden Trudeau QB #134/6, 53 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard RB #2156 CAR, 312 YDS, 1 TD
Josiah Lucas RB #2334 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD
Lucky Sutton RB #745 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingNathan Acevedo WR #1316 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD
Jacob Bostick WR #176 REC, 90 YDS
Javion Kinnard RB #216 REC, 81 YDS
Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #56 REC, 80 YDS
Defense
TacklesSione Hala LB #053
Jelani McLaughlin S #2037
Josh Hunter S #2936
SacksDjibril Rahman LB #453
Alijah Lash LB #412
Sione Hala LB #01
InterceptionsMike Lindsay CB #272
Kai Wallin LB #181
Isaiah Green S #141

UCLA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNico Iamaleava QB #962/99, 820 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Madden Iamaleava QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingWayne Knight RB #349 CAR, 445 YDS, 9 TD
Anthony Woods RB #636 CAR, 269 YDS, 4 TD
Jaivian Thomas RB #2128 CAR, 155 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingSemaj Morgan WR #414 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
Brian Rowe Jr. WR #211 REC, 163 YDS
Wayne Knight RB #38 REC, 88 YDS
Mikey Matthews WR #74 REC, 88 YDS
Defense
TacklesSammy Omosigho LB #1038
Jalen Woods LB #933
Ta'Shawn James DB #2724
SacksSammy Omosigho LB #103
Sahir West DL #152
Scott Taylor LB #201.5
InterceptionsTa'Shawn James DB #273
Jalen Woods LB #91
Rodrick Pleasant DB #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.