Wk 11 · 2026
Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USA by 2.5
Sun Belt · 4-2
What is at stake
Battle for the Belt. The winner gets an actual pro-wrestling-style championship belt, which tells you everything about how seriously south Alabama takes this. They play for the championship belt. A Sun Belt game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Troy form
W 55-34vs USML 10-21at USUL 17-27at MIZW 34-17vs ALSTW 24-21vs SHSU
2026 season
South Alabama form
W 56-49at ARSTW 52-35vs ULML 21-45at UKW 41-36vs OHIOL 24-28at TULN
2026 season
Troy this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
South Alabama this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Troy | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Sun Belt | vs W 55-34 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Louisiana Sun Belt | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| UL Monroe Sun Belt | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs W 52-35 preview |
| Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Arkansas St Sun Belt | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at W 56-49 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Troy leads 10–4 · Troy won the last one
14 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.6 points toward Troy
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-04 | South Alabama 24 — 31 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2024 | 2024-10-15 | Troy 9 — 25 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2023 | 2023-11-02 | South Alabama 10 — 28 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2022 | 2022-10-20 | Troy 10 — 6 South Alabama | at USA | Troy |
| 2021 | 2021-11-06 | South Alabama 24 — 31 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2020 | 2020-12-05 | Troy 29 — 0 South Alabama | at USA | Troy |
| 2019 | 2019-10-16 | South Alabama 13 — 37 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2018 | 2018-10-23 | Troy 38 — 17 South Alabama | at USA | Troy |
| 2017 | 2017-10-11 | South Alabama 19 — 8 Troy | at TROY | South Alabama |
| 2016 | 2016-10-20 | Troy 28 — 21 South Alabama | at USA | Troy |
| 2015 | 2015-10-03 | South Alabama 24 — 18 Troy | at TROY | South Alabama |
| 2014 | 2014-10-24 | Troy 13 — 27 South Alabama | at USA | South Alabama |
| 2013 | 2013-10-05 | South Alabama 33 — 34 Troy | at TROY | Troy |
| 2012 | 2012-09-29 | Troy 31 — 10 South Alabama | at USA | Troy |
Troy leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Goose Crowder QB #9 | 87/153, 1047 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Crenshaw P #28 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Gavin Griffin RB #0 | 69 CAR, 337 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jaheim Merriweather RB #3 | 50 CAR, 281 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jordan Lovett RB #1 | 44 CAR, 254 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | TK Keyes WR #8 | 12 REC, 270 YDS, 3 TD |
| Noreel White WR #4 | 11 REC, 159 YDS | |
| Howard Kinchen WR #18 | 13 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jace Petty WR #17 | 12 REC, 105 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Keno Jones LB #42 | 35 |
| Justin Powe S #6 | 30 | |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Donnie Smith DB #22 | 5 |
| Keno Jones LB #42 | 1.5 | |
| Ty Clemons DT #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kavion Henderson DE #25 | 1 |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 1 | |
| Jabari Strait CB #1 | 1 |
South Alabama leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jared Hollins QB #7 | 56/92, 855 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Bishop Davenport QB #4 | 40/59, 450 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Keenan Phillips RB #3 | 80 CAR, 444 YDS, 5 TD |
| PJ Martin RB #0 | 92 CAR, 423 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Trae'von Dunbar RB #21 | 45 CAR, 248 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Brendan Jenkins WR #12 | 21 REC, 355 YDS, 3 TD |
| Anthony Eager WR #1 | 11 REC, 305 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR #2 | 22 REC, 261 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Micah Woods WR #6 | 8 REC, 127 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Cole Blaylock S #14 | 42 |
| Jordan Williams LB #48 | 33 | |
| Dallas Young S #8 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Stephen Johnson DL #56 | 1.5 |
| Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 1.5 | |
| Masey Lewis DL #18 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Damyrion Darby CB #24 | 3 |
| D.J. Moore S #1 | 1 | |
| Jaylen Moson CB #12 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.