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Wk 2 · 2026

UNLV Rebels at North Texas Mean Green — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-2
6
at
3:45pET
UNLV -3 · total 57.5 DraftKings opened +6.5 · 3.5 toward UNT
Ratings differential UNT by 7.6
American · 4-2
44

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UNLV: -2.2#77
Efficiency margin
North Texas: +3.0#59
UNLV: 29.0
Offense (pts/100)
North Texas: 38.0
UNLV: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
North Texas: 26.0
UNLV: 66.7
Pace (plays/g)
North Texas: 73.2
UNLV: 5.54
Yards / play
North Texas: 7.30
UNLV: 5.48
Yards / play allowed
North Texas: 5.52
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UNLV: 23.0
Points / game
North Texas: 42.2
UNLV: 20.8
Points allowed
North Texas: 29.2
UNLV: 370
Yards / game
North Texas: 534
UNLV: 370
Yards allowed
North Texas: 356
UNLV: 229
Pass yds allowed
North Texas: 213
UNLV: 141
Rush yds allowed
North Texas: 143
UNLV: 1.17
Turnovers / game
North Texas: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UNLV form

W 13-7vs NDSUW 39-31vs CALW 38-10at AKRL 6-44at UNTW 21-6at HAW
2026 season

North Texas form

W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season

UNLV this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

North Texas this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, North Texas leads 2–1 · North Texas won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.7 points toward North Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12UNLV 6 — 44 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20222022-09-17North Texas 27 — 58 UNLVat UNLVUNLV
20132014-01-01UNLV 14 — 36 North TexasneutralNorth Texas bowl/CFP

UNLV leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Arnold QB #1179/133, 1063 YDS, 8 TD
Alex Orji QB #11/5, 9 YDS, 1 INT
RushingJai'Den Thomas RB #973 CAR, 383 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Arnold QB #1173 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD
Jaylon Glover RB #016 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingTaz Reddicks WR #214 REC, 272 YDS, 2 TD
Kayden McGee WR #68 REC, 188 YDS, 2 TD
Taeshaun Lyons WR #811 REC, 120 YDS
Jai'Den Thomas RB #912 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCam Santee LB #2337
Jake Pope S #736
Tre Fulton DB #1036
SacksTre Fulton DB #103.5
Kal-El Togafau DL #443
Elias Rudolph LB #912
InterceptionsQuandarius Keyes DB #52
Mumu Bin-Wahad DB #11
Tre Fulton DB #101

North Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #910/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJahiem White RB #184 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD
Brendon Haygood RB #2929 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #1211 CAR, 57 YDS
ReceivingJustin Stevenson WR #1324 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD
Corri Milliner WR #020 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD
Max Reese TE #714 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Josiah Martin WR #611 REC, 161 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Coombes S #445
Zakye Barker LB #341
Brandon Jones S #029
SacksDavion Rhodes DL #912
Zakye Barker LB #32
David Onuoha DL #101.5
InterceptionsJaden Allen CB #191
Bryce Garza S #141
Keshawn Davila CB #11
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.