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Wk 8 · 2026

West Virginia Mountaineers at TCU Horned Frogs — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

Weather

81° / 67° overcast
12% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TCU by 10.8
Big 12 · 2-3

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

West Virginia: -2.7#79
Efficiency margin
TCU: +5.7#44
West Virginia: 34.1
Offense (pts/100)
TCU: 31.6
West Virginia: 27.9
Defense (pts/100)
TCU: 16.9
West Virginia: 76.8
Pace (plays/g)
TCU: 66.0
West Virginia: 6.25
Yards / play
TCU: 6.14
West Virginia: 6.93
Yards / play allowed
TCU: 4.57
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

West Virginia: 36.3
Points / game
TCU: 25.4
West Virginia: 32.7
Points allowed
TCU: 13.4
West Virginia: 480
Yards / game
TCU: 405
West Virginia: 461
Yards allowed
TCU: 255
West Virginia: 297
Pass yds allowed
TCU: 155
West Virginia: 164
Rush yds allowed
TCU: 100
West Virginia: 1.17
Turnovers / game
TCU: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

West Virginia form

L 31-52vs ARIZL 42-45at ISUL 24-41vs OKSTW 38-27at UVAW 52-7vs UTM
2026 season

TCU form

L 10-17vs BYUL 13-21at UCFW 31-7vs ARSTW 63-7vs GRAML 10-15vs UNC
2026 season

West Virginia this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under6-0 · 100% (6 games)

TCU this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentWest VirginiaTCU
Arizona
Big 12
vs L 31-52 previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Texas Tech
Big 12
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Kansas
Big 12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Utah
Big 12
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, West Virginia leads 7–6 · TCU won the last one
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.5 points toward West Virginia
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-25TCU 23 — 17 West Virginiaat WVUTCU
20232023-09-30West Virginia 24 — 21 TCUat TCUWest Virginia
20222022-10-29TCU 41 — 31 West Virginiaat WVUTCU
20212021-10-23West Virginia 29 — 17 TCUat TCUWest Virginia
20202020-11-14TCU 6 — 24 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20192019-11-29West Virginia 20 — 17 TCUat TCUWest Virginia
20182018-11-10TCU 10 — 47 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20172017-10-07West Virginia 24 — 31 TCUat TCUTCU
20162016-10-22TCU 10 — 34 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20152015-10-29West Virginia 10 — 40 TCUat TCUTCU
20142014-11-01TCU 31 — 30 West Virginiaat WVUTCU
20132013-11-02West Virginia 30 — 27 TCUat TCUWest Virginia
20122012-11-03TCU 39 — 38 West Virginiaat WVUTCU

West Virginia leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Hawkins Jr. QB #347/83, 836 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
Scotty Fox Jr. QB #152/4, 27 YDS
RushingCam Cook RB #4119 CAR, 652 YDS, 5 TD
Michael Hawkins Jr. QB #392 CAR, 574 YDS, 11 TD
Amari Latimer RB #120 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingDJ Epps WR #214 REC, 393 YDS, 4 TD
Jaden Bray WR #59 REC, 152 YDS
John Neider WR #806 REC, 71 YDS
Armoni Weaver-Bomar WR #253 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesIsaiah Patterson LB #1637
Kamari Wilson S #830
Ben Cutter LB #1528
SacksAshton Woods LB #332
Nate Gabriel DL #932
Ben Cutter LB #151
InterceptionsKamari Wilson S #81
Ashton Woods LB #331
Isaiah Patterson LB #161

TCU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJaden Craig QB #1108/157, 1400 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Adam Schobel QB #110/1, 0 YDS
RushingJeremy Payne RB #2687 CAR, 432 YDS, 2 TD
Jon Denman RB #223 CAR, 76 YDS, 2 TD
Joe Pitchford RB #2411 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingEd Small WR #1828 REC, 403 YDS, 1 TD
Kari Ashley TE #8125 REC, 374 YDS, 4 TD
Jeremy Scott WR #613 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
Jacobe Hayes WR #809 REC, 133 YDS
Defense
TacklesHudson Hooper LB #3727
Jamel Johnson S #226
Max Carroll LB #321
SacksAnsel Din-Mbuh DT #922
John Schobel EDGE #142
Markis Deal DT #951.5
InterceptionsVernon Glover Jr. CB #11
Teon Parks CB #211
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.