Wk 3 · 2026
Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State Cyclones — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
· ESPNU FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
ISU -23.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened -22.5 · 1 toward ISU
Ratings differential ISU by 23.3
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Bowling Green form
W 38-10vs SACW 24-20at M-OHL 6-14vs USFL 7-55at ISUL 7-56at NEB
2026 season
Iowa State form
L 10-24at BYUW 45-42vs WVUL 17-31vs UTAHW 55-7vs BGSUL 13-16at IOWA
2026 season
Bowling Green this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Iowa State this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Iowa State leads 1–0 · Iowa State won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
48.0 points toward Iowa State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | Bowling Green 7 — 55 Iowa State | at ISU | Iowa State |
Bowling Green leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jay Kastantin QB #17 | 83/128, 870 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Austin Novosad QB #16 | 1/5, -1 YDS | |
| Rushing | Austyn Dendy RB #1 | 62 CAR, 185 YDS, 1 TD |
| Nakai Amachree RB #2 | 33 CAR, 113 YDS | |
| Ke'Marion Baldwin RB #4 | 12 CAR, 50 YDS | |
| Receiving | Winn Sharp WR #18 | 15 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jeremiah Scoby TE #0 | 18 REC, 182 YDS | |
| Brennan Ridley WR #5 | 19 REC, 167 YDS | |
| Eli Jacon-Duffy TE #8 | 14 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Pringle LB #3 | 49 |
| Kal-El Pascal S #0 | 38 | |
| Preston EstoEsta S #9 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Bradley DE #23 | 6.5 |
| Eriq George DE #5 | 3 | |
| Cashmire Lewis LB #8 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | JoJo Johnson CB #2 | 1 |
| Drey Braxton DB #1 | 1 |
Iowa State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 85/148, 1001 YDS, 7 TD, 4 INT |
| Aiden Flora RB #21 | 2/2, 48 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Aiden Flora RB #21 | 90 CAR, 680 YDS, 6 TD |
| Jaylen Raynor QB #1 | 51 CAR, 166 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Arnold Barnes III RB #3 | 25 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Dominic Overby WR #11 | 10 REC, 212 YDS, 1 TD |
| Omari Hayes WR #9 | 17 REC, 208 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Cody Jackson WR #2 | 10 REC, 191 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Ty Claiborne WR #89 | 10 REC, 103 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sullivan Schlimgen LB #7 | 56 |
| Carson Willich LB #10 | 36 | |
| Brody Miller S #24 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Isaac Terrell DE #88 | 3 |
| Carson Willich LB #10 | 1 | |
| Jace Gilbert DE #55 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Beni Ngoyi CB #5 | 1 |
| Beau Goodwin LB #34 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.