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Wk 1 · 2026

Central Michigan Chippewas at New Mexico Lobos — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM · FS1 FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
10:00pET
UNM -10.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened -11.5 · 1 toward CMU
Ratings differential UNM by 22.5
Mountain West · 4-1
38

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

C Michigan: -13.0#115
Efficiency margin
New Mexico: +7.1#39
C Michigan: 22.6
Offense (pts/100)
New Mexico: 34.5
C Michigan: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
New Mexico: 18.4
C Michigan: 57.7
Pace (plays/g)
New Mexico: 65.0
C Michigan: 4.94
Yards / play
New Mexico: 5.94
C Michigan: 5.69
Yards / play allowed
New Mexico: 4.52
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

C Michigan: 17.0
Points / game
New Mexico: 43.4
C Michigan: 26.3
Points allowed
New Mexico: 10.6
C Michigan: 285
Yards / game
New Mexico: 386
C Michigan: 373
Yards allowed
New Mexico: 256
C Michigan: 195
Pass yds allowed
New Mexico: 155
C Michigan: 178
Rush yds allowed
New Mexico: 101
C Michigan: 1.67
Turnovers / game
New Mexico: 0.20
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

New Mexico form

W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

New Mexico this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentC MichiganNew Mexico
Wyoming
Mountain West
vs W 24-10 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, New Mexico leads 1–0 · New Mexico won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 31.0 points toward New Mexico
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05C Michigan 7 — 38 New Mexicoat UNMNew Mexico

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191

New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season

PassingToa Fa'avae QB #1336/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Luke Moga QB #1023/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD
RushingScottre Humphrey RB #2270 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD
Kiefer Sibley RB #2138 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Mathews RB #2320 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingBailen George WR #8111 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD
Cade Keith TE #8814 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD
DJ Darling WR #145 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD
Troy Omeire WR #56 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMercury Swaim LB #225
Jaxton Eck LB #625
Tavian Combs S #721
SacksBrett Karhu DE #454
Darren Agu DE #103
Jalen McIver DT #942.5
InterceptionsTavian Combs S #73
Austin Brawley S #02
Jahmir Torres CB #12
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.