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Wk 4 · 2026

Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears — Fri, Sep 25

Fri, Sep 25 · California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 3-2
24
at
10:30pET
CLEM -2.5 · total 52.5 DraftKings opened +1.5 · 1 toward CLEM
Ratings differential CLEM by 5.0

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Clemson: +4.0#53
Efficiency margin
California: -3.4#82
Clemson: 31.2
Offense (pts/100)
California: 29.3
Clemson: 18.2
Defense (pts/100)
California: 23.7
Clemson: 66.6
Pace (plays/g)
California: 71.2
Clemson: 4.82
Yards / play
California: 5.58
Clemson: 5.49
Yards / play allowed
California: 5.60
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Clemson: 19.4
Points / game
California: 26.7
Clemson: 25.8
Points allowed
California: 25.5
Clemson: 321
Yards / game
California: 397
Clemson: 382
Yards allowed
California: 368
Clemson: 217
Pass yds allowed
California: 192
Clemson: 165
Rush yds allowed
California: 175
Clemson: 1.80
Turnovers / game
California: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Clemson form

L 13-41vs MIAW 24-10at CALW 28-20vs UNCW 22-7vs GASOL 10-51at LSU
2026 season

California form

W 25-20vs VTL 31-39at UNLVL 10-24vs CLEMW 49-7vs WAGW 21-18at SYR
2026 season

Clemson this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

California this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentClemsonCalifornia
Virginia Tech
ACC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs W 25-20 preview
Syracuse
ACC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 21-18 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Clemson leads 1–0 · Clemson won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 14.0 points toward Clemson
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-25Clemson 24 — 10 Californiaat CALClemson

Clemson leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTait Reynolds QB #283/128, 816 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
Christopher Vizzina QB #1714/23, 102 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingGideon Davidson RB #866 CAR, 371 YDS, 4 TD
Chris Johnson Jr. RB #1622 CAR, 101 YDS
Jarvis Green RB #2121 CAR, 88 YDS
ReceivingBryant Wesco Jr. WR #1225 REC, 315 YDS
T.J. Moore WR #125 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Tyler Brown WR #621 REC, 188 YDS
Olsen Patt-Henry TE #117 REC, 62 YDS
Defense
TacklesCorey Myrick S #2243
Sammy Brown LB #4740
Jeremiah Alexander LB #735
SacksWill Heldt DE #134
Jahiem Lawson DE #151
Ronan Hanafin S #51
InterceptionsElliot Washington II CB #33
Ashton Hampton CB #21

California leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele QB #3107/164, 1180 YDS, 8 TD, 5 INT
Jackson Brousseau QB #1129/48, 299 YDS, 2 TD
RushingAdam Mohammed RB #2473 CAR, 336 YDS, 3 TD
Ashten Emory RB #2028 CAR, 103 YDS, 2 TD
Tyree Sams WR #813 CAR, 28 YDS
ReceivingIan Strong WR #923 REC, 299 YDS, 1 TD
Chase Hendricks WR #732 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD
Adam Mohammed RB #2417 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD
Mason Mini TE #8512 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKingston Lopa DB #229
AJ Tuitele LB #927
Tristan Jernigan LB #3225
SacksAJ Tuitele LB #93
Daniel Harris DB #72
Nate Burrell DL #981
InterceptionsKingston Lopa DB #25
Aiden Manutai DB #141
Isaiah Crosby DB #231
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.