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Wk 8 · 2026

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Weather

62° / 44° light drizzle
16% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big Ten · 6-0
at
TBDET
IU -6 · total 52.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential IU by 12.0
Big Ten · 3-2

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Indiana is ranked #7 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Indiana: +23.2#6
Efficiency margin
Michigan: +8.8#36
Indiana: 41.7
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan: 32.0
Indiana: 9.6
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan: 14.2
Indiana: 59.2
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan: 58.6
Indiana: 7.82
Yards / play
Michigan: 5.39
Indiana: 4.25
Yards / play allowed
Michigan: 4.02
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Indiana: 40.2
Points / game
Michigan: 23.0
Indiana: 11.8
Points allowed
Michigan: 15.8
Indiana: 463
Yards / game
Michigan: 316
Indiana: 262
Yards allowed
Michigan: 241
Indiana: 187
Pass yds allowed
Michigan: 147
Indiana: 75
Rush yds allowed
Michigan: 95
Indiana: 0.17
Turnovers / game
Michigan: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Indiana form

W 20-17at NEBW 47-15at RUTGW 29-23vs NUW 38-0vs WKUW 55-0vs HOW
2026 season

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

Indiana this season

Straight up6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentIndianaMichigan
Rutgers
Big Ten
at W 47-15 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Ohio State
Big Ten
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Minnesota
Big Ten
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 14-20 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Michigan leads 13–2 · Indiana won the last one
15 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 13.8 points toward Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-09Michigan 15 — 20 Indianaat IUIndiana
20232023-10-14Indiana 7 — 52 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20222022-10-08Michigan 31 — 10 Indianaat IUMichigan
20212021-11-06Indiana 7 — 29 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20202020-11-07Michigan 21 — 38 Indianaat IUIndiana
20192019-11-23Michigan 39 — 14 Indianaat IUMichigan
20182018-11-17Indiana 20 — 31 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20172017-10-14Michigan 27 — 20 Indianaat IUMichigan
20162016-11-19Indiana 10 — 20 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20152015-11-14Michigan 48 — 41 Indianaat IUMichigan
20142014-11-01Indiana 10 — 34 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20132013-10-19Indiana 47 — 63 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20102010-10-02Michigan 42 — 35 Indianaat IUMichigan
20092009-09-26Indiana 33 — 36 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20062006-11-11Michigan 34 — 3 Indianaat IUMichigan

Indiana leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJosh Hoover QB #1076/107, 1101 YDS, 15 TD
Grant Wilson QB #24/5, 74 YDS, 2 TD
RushingTurbo Richard RB #163 CAR, 587 YDS, 5 TD
Lee Beebe Jr. RB #2989 CAR, 520 YDS, 4 TD
Jayreon Campbell RB #228 CAR, 50 YDS
ReceivingCharlie Becker WR #8027 REC, 477 YDS, 8 TD
Nick Marsh WR #1123 REC, 341 YDS, 4 TD
Shazz Preston WR #79 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
Davion Chandler WR #48 REC, 96 YDS, 4 TD
Defense
TacklesIsaiah Jones LB #4637
Rolijah Hardy LB #533
Preston Zachman DB #628
SacksTobi Osunsanmi DL #124
Stephen Daley DL #93
Mario Landino DL #972
InterceptionsIsaiah Jones LB #461
Quan Sanks DB #131
Rolijah Hardy LB #51

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.