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Wk 4 · 2026

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Washington Huskies — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 4-2
27
at
11:00pET
WASH -11.5 · total 44.5 DraftKings opened -9.5 · 2 toward WASH
Ratings differential WASH by 3.7
Big Ten · 3-3
24

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Minnesota: +2.8#60
Efficiency margin
Washington: +4.1#52
Minnesota: 29.8
Offense (pts/100)
Washington: 32.3
Minnesota: 18.0
Defense (pts/100)
Washington: 19.2
Minnesota: 62.8
Pace (plays/g)
Washington: 65.2
Minnesota: 5.43
Yards / play
Washington: 5.68
Minnesota: 5.01
Yards / play allowed
Washington: 5.26
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Minnesota: 28.8
Points / game
Washington: 26.2
Minnesota: 21.8
Points allowed
Washington: 22.2
Minnesota: 341
Yards / game
Washington: 370
Minnesota: 289
Yards allowed
Washington: 330
Minnesota: 160
Pass yds allowed
Washington: 194
Minnesota: 129
Rush yds allowed
Washington: 137
Minnesota: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Washington: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Minnesota form

L 13-41at PURW 20-14vs MICHW 27-24at WASHW 41-7vs AKRL 13-38vs MSST
2026 season

Washington form

L 24-41vs IOWAL 21-25at USCL 24-27vs MINNW 48-16vs EWUW 16-14vs USU
2026 season

Minnesota this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Washington this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentMinnesotaWashington
Purdue
Big Ten
at L 13-41 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Iowa
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 24-41 preview
Indiana
Big Ten
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Penn State
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Minnesota leads 1–0 · Minnesota won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.0 points toward Minnesota
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-26Minnesota 27 — 24 Washingtonat WASHMinnesota

Minnesota leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDrake Lindsey QB #5105/157, 1087 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Max Shikenjanski QB #63/3, 50 YDS
RushingTJ Thomas RB #2346 CAR, 307 YDS, 1 TD
Darius Taylor RB #157 CAR, 139 YDS, 4 TD
Xavier Ford RB #917 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingNoah Jennings WR #1326 REC, 345 YDS, 1 TD
Javon Tracy WR #1127 REC, 300 YDS, 1 TD
Jalen Smith WR #812 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
Darius Taylor RB #111 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMaverick Baranowski LB #634
Kerry Brown DB #1425
Zack Harden DB #425
SacksTJ Bush Jr. DL #34
Karter Menz DL #113
Anthony Smith DL #01.5
InterceptionsMaverick Baranowski LB #61
John Nestor DB #171
Zack Harden DB #41

Washington leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDemond Williams Jr. QB #1116/174, 1396 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Elijah Brown QB #730/42, 276 YDS, 4 TD
RushingBrian Bonner Jr. RB #3451 CAR, 232 YDS
Demond Williams Jr. QB #164 CAR, 183 YDS, 2 TD
Trey Cooley RB #2225 CAR, 52 YDS
ReceivingDezmen Roebuck WR #243 REC, 387 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Lawson WR #826 REC, 380 YDS, 2 TD
Baron Naone TE #8517 REC, 251 YDS, 2 TD
Rashid Williams WR #316 REC, 250 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesAlex McLaughlin S #744
Jacob Manu LB #935
Dylan Robinson CB #627
SacksJacob Manu LB #92.5
Alex McLaughlin S #72.5
Russell Davis II EDGE #991
InterceptionsAlex McLaughlin S #72
Taariq Al-Uqdah LB #01
Rahshawn Clark CB #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.