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Wk 10 · 2026

Missouri State Bears at Florida International Panthers — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
4:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FIU by 9.7

What is at stake

A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Missouri St: -16.9#129
Efficiency margin
FIU: -9.6#106
Missouri St: 23.3
Offense (pts/100)
FIU: 22.9
Missouri St: 31.2
Defense (pts/100)
FIU: 23.5
Missouri St: 62.4
Pace (plays/g)
FIU: 71.0
Missouri St: 5.52
Yards / play
FIU: 5.33
Missouri St: 6.11
Yards / play allowed
FIU: 4.02
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Missouri St: 21.8
Points / game
FIU: 18.8
Missouri St: 32.4
Points allowed
FIU: 12.2
Missouri St: 344
Yards / game
FIU: 378
Missouri St: 445
Yards allowed
FIU: 243
Missouri St: 248
Pass yds allowed
FIU: 156
Missouri St: 196
Rush yds allowed
FIU: 87
Missouri St: 1.00
Turnovers / game
FIU: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Missouri St form

L 13-34at WKUL 24-34at SMUL 24-30vs MRSHW 48-14vs LINL 0-50at TA&M
2026 season

FIU form

W 22-3vs NMSUW 20-3vs LIUL 10-16at FAUW 33-20vs BUFL 9-19at USF
2026 season

Missouri St this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

FIU this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentMissouri StFIU
Kennesaw St
CUSA
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Delaware
CUSA
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
New Mexico St
CUSA
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 22-3 preview
Jax State
CUSA
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Liberty
CUSA
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Missouri St leads 1–0 · Missouri St won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.0 points toward Missouri St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-29FIU 21 — 28 Missouri Stat MOSTMissouri St

Missouri St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSkyler Locklear QB #971/108, 788 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Henry Belin IV QB #219/34, 250 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushingBreezy Dubar RB #142 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD
Ramone Green Jr. RB #2246 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD
Skyler Locklear QB #933 CAR, 107 YDS
ReceivingIsaiah Myers WR #320 REC, 419 YDS, 3 TD
Mekhi Miller WR #613 REC, 146 YDS
Jmariyae Robinson WR #019 REC, 134 YDS
Jeron Askren TE #888 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJared Lloyd LB #062
J.J. O'Neal S #1633
Christian Ford S #2931
SacksJosh Lukusa DE #921
Malik Ganaway CB #71
Jared Lloyd LB #01
InterceptionsJoel Boamah CB #121
Jashawn Cooper LB #211

FIU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJJ Kohl QB #1792/161, 1180 YDS, 5 TD, 7 INT
Zach Marker QB #117/11, 97 YDS
RushingAnthony Carrie RB #172 CAR, 232 YDS, 1 TD
Devonte Lyons RB #350 CAR, 195 YDS
Sterling Joseph RB #2219 CAR, 68 YDS
ReceivingMaguire Anderson WR #225 REC, 401 YDS, 2 TD
Jojo Stone WR #013 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
Tyson Carter WR #139 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD
Greg Gaines III WR #88 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesDeAndre Boykins DB #229
Pickle Stewart LB #1825
Percy Courtney Jr. LB #1120
SacksDeeJay Holmes Jr. DL #335
Kenton Simmons DE #54
Elisha Baldridge DL #973
InterceptionsDeAndre Boykins DB #21
Demetrius Hill DB #31
Wesley Miller DB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.