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Wk 1 · 2026

Murray State Racers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Murray State Racers
FCS / Other · 0-2
14
at
7:45pET
MTSU -22.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings opened -20.5 · 2 toward MTSU
No ratings differential: Murray St is not in the ratings file.

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Murray St: no data
Efficiency margin
MTSU: -19.7#132
Murray St: no data
Offense (pts/100)
MTSU: 20.0
Murray St: no data
Defense (pts/100)
MTSU: 30.6
Murray St: no data
Pace (plays/g)
MTSU: 56.8
Murray St: no data
Yards / play
MTSU: 5.40
Murray St: no data
Yards / play allowed
MTSU: 6.63
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Murray St: 7.0
Points / game
MTSU: 20.8
Murray St: 48.5
Points allowed
MTSU: 28.0
Murray St: 225
Yards / game
MTSU: 307
Murray St: no data
Yards allowed
MTSU: 421
Murray St: no data
Pass yds allowed
MTSU: 196
Murray St: no data
Rush yds allowed
MTSU: 225
Murray St: 1.00
Turnovers / game
MTSU: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Murray St form

L 0-59at OKSTL 14-38at MTSU
2026 season

MTSU form

L 0-55at KUL 13-23at JXSTW 27-20vs NEVL 26-28at MRSHW 38-14vs MUR
2026 season

Murray St this season

Straight up0-2 · 0% (2 games)
Against the spread0-2 · 0% (2 games)
Over / under0-2 · 0% (2 games)

MTSU this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, MTSU leads 2–0 · MTSU has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 22.5 points toward MTSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05Murray St 14 — 38 MTSUat MTSUMTSU
20232023-09-16Murray St 14 — 35 MTSUat MTSUMTSU

Murray St leaders

No tracked players for this team.
From this site’s tracked-player feed; ESPN published no season leaders for this team.
No roster page: this site tracks the 138 FBS teams.

MTSU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRoman Gagliano QB #1688/156, 913 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
RushingAntonio Martin RB #872 CAR, 385 YDS, 1 TD
Terrence Brown RB #918 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Roman Gagliano QB #1620 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy WR #331 REC, 335 YDS, 4 TD
Markus Allen WR #18 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
Neo Clifton WR #859 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Jones WR #68 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKorey Smith LB #2647
Jackson Lowe CB #231
Kalen Woods S #022
SacksJackson Lowe CB #21
La'Garrius Sims LB #420.5
Zeion Simpson-Smith DT #950.5
InterceptionsKalen Woods S #01
James Johnson S #111
Jason Hardy CB #211
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.