Wk 3 · 2026
North Texas Mean Green at Texas State Bobcats — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX
· USA Net FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
TXST -3 · total 62.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential UNT by 3.1
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
North Texas form
W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season
Texas St form
L 29-31at SDSUW 63-10vs UIWW 49-35vs UNTL 26-31vs UTSAL 7-59at TEX
2026 season
North Texas this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Texas St this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Texas St leads 2–0 · Texas St has won the last 2
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.0 points toward Texas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | North Texas 35 — 49 Texas St | at TXST | Texas St |
| 2024 | 2025-01-03 | North Texas 28 — 30 Texas St | neutral | Texas St bowl/CFP |
North Texas leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Tayven Jackson QB #2 | 119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT |
| Chaston Ditta QB #9 | 10/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Jahiem White RB #1 | 84 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD |
| Brendon Haygood RB #29 | 29 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #12 | 11 CAR, 57 YDS | |
| Receiving | Justin Stevenson WR #13 | 24 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD |
| Corri Milliner WR #0 | 20 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Max Reese TE #7 | 14 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Josiah Martin WR #6 | 11 REC, 161 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | CJ Coombes S #4 | 45 |
| Zakye Barker LB #3 | 41 | |
| Brandon Jones S #0 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Davion Rhodes DL #91 | 2 |
| Zakye Barker LB #3 | 2 | |
| David Onuoha DL #10 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jaden Allen CB #19 | 1 |
| Bryce Garza S #14 | 1 | |
| Keshawn Davila CB #1 | 1 |
Texas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Brad Jackson QB #8 | 92/138, 1226 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT |
| Gavin Parkhurst QB #17 | 8/9, 114 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Torrance Burgess Jr. RB #4 | 84 CAR, 614 YDS, 1 TD |
| Davian Jackson RB #6 | 64 CAR, 315 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Brad Jackson QB #8 | 51 CAR, 186 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Dawn Jr. WR #1 | 24 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD |
| Beau Sparks WR #11 | 17 REC, 244 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Kylen Evans WR #2 | 11 REC, 199 YDS | |
| Zechariah Sample WR #3 | 7 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jayden Bradley DB #9 | 37 |
| Ayden Jones LB #15 | 30 | |
| Terrence Cooks II LB #16 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Tymere Jackson DL #56 | 2.5 |
| J.P. Deeter DL #91 | 0.5 | |
| Jo'Laison Landry DL #6 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ryan Nolan OL #56 | 1 |
| Michael Patterson III DB #19 | 1 | |
| Trez Moore DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.