Wk 2 · 2026
UTSA Roadrunners at Texas State Bobcats — Sat, Sep 12
Sat, Sep 12 ·
UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX
· CW FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
TXST -2.5 · total 65.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1 toward TXST
Ratings differential UTSA by 0.4
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
UTSA form
W 31-24vs USFW 16-14at RICEW 59-45vs CSUL 6-30at TEXW 31-26at TXST
2026 season
Texas St form
L 29-31at SDSUW 63-10vs UIWW 49-35vs UNTL 26-31vs UTSAL 7-59at TEX
2026 season
UTSA this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Texas St this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | UTSA | Texas St |
|---|---|---|
| Texas SEC | at L 6-30 preview | at L 7-59 preview |
| Colorado St Pac-12 | vs W 59-45 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| North Texas American | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 49-35 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, UTSA leads 6–2 · UTSA won the last one
8 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.2 points toward UTSA
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-12 | UTSA 31 — 26 Texas St | at TXST | UTSA |
| 2025 | 2025-09-06 | Texas St 43 — 36 UTSA | at UTSA | Texas St |
| 2024 | 2024-09-07 | UTSA 10 — 49 Texas St | at TXST | Texas St |
| 2023 | 2023-09-09 | Texas St 13 — 20 UTSA | at UTSA | UTSA |
| 2020 | 2020-09-12 | UTSA 51 — 48 Texas St | at TXST | UTSA |
| 2018 | 2018-09-22 | Texas St 21 — 25 UTSA | at UTSA | UTSA |
| 2017 | 2017-09-23 | UTSA 44 — 14 Texas St | at TXST | UTSA |
| 2012 | 2012-11-24 | Texas St 31 — 38 UTSA | at UTSA | UTSA |
UTSA leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Owen McCown QB #13 | 125/182, 1219 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| David Amador II WR #18 | 1/2, 44 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Will Henderson III RB #11 | 78 CAR, 484 YDS, 3 TD |
| A'Marion Peterson RB #28 | 39 CAR, 286 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Brandon High Jr. RB #10 | 48 CAR, 231 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | DJ Allen Jr. WR #15 | 18 REC, 269 YDS, 2 TD |
| AJ Wilson WR #84 | 18 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mekhi Anderson WR #14 | 23 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| David Amador II WR #18 | 28 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Brandon Tucker LB #23 | 46 |
| Darion White LB #44 | 36 | |
| Owen Pewee LB #2 | 33 | |
| Sacks | Owen Pewee LB #2 | 1 |
| Camron Cooper LB #1 | 1 | |
| James Walley Jr. LB #34 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Zach Morris CB #20 | 1 |
| Joel Rogers S #14 | 1 | |
| Nate Robinson Jr. S #25 | 1 |
Texas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Brad Jackson QB #8 | 92/138, 1226 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT |
| Gavin Parkhurst QB #17 | 8/9, 114 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Torrance Burgess Jr. RB #4 | 84 CAR, 614 YDS, 1 TD |
| Davian Jackson RB #6 | 64 CAR, 315 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Brad Jackson QB #8 | 51 CAR, 186 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Dawn Jr. WR #1 | 24 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD |
| Beau Sparks WR #11 | 17 REC, 244 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Kylen Evans WR #2 | 11 REC, 199 YDS | |
| Zechariah Sample WR #3 | 7 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jayden Bradley DB #9 | 37 |
| Ayden Jones LB #15 | 30 | |
| Terrence Cooks II LB #16 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Tymere Jackson DL #56 | 2.5 |
| J.P. Deeter DL #91 | 0.5 | |
| Jo'Laison Landry DL #6 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ryan Nolan OL #56 | 1 |
| Michael Patterson III DB #19 | 1 | |
| Trez Moore DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.