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Wk 2 · 2026

Oklahoma Sooners at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 3-2
10
at
12:00pET
OU -5.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 7 toward OU
Ratings differential OU by 2.2
Big Ten · 3-2
17

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Oklahoma: +13.4#21
Efficiency margin
Michigan: +8.8#36
Oklahoma: 33.9
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan: 32.0
Oklahoma: 11.4
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan: 14.2
Oklahoma: 60.8
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan: 58.6
Oklahoma: 5.01
Yards / play
Michigan: 5.39
Oklahoma: 4.65
Yards / play allowed
Michigan: 4.02
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Oklahoma: 23.0
Points / game
Michigan: 23.0
Oklahoma: 17.6
Points allowed
Michigan: 15.8
Oklahoma: 305
Yards / game
Michigan: 316
Oklahoma: 267
Yards allowed
Michigan: 241
Oklahoma: 150
Pass yds allowed
Michigan: 147
Oklahoma: 117
Rush yds allowed
Michigan: 95
Oklahoma: 2.00
Turnovers / game
Michigan: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Oklahoma form

W 27-24vs TEXL 13-41at UGAW 14-6vs UNML 10-17at MICHW 51-0vs UTEP
2026 season

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

Oklahoma this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentOklahomaMichigan
UTEP
Mountain West
vs W 51-0 previewvs W 52-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Michigan won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.0 points toward Oklahoma
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12Oklahoma 10 — 17 Michiganat MICHMichigan
20252025-09-06Michigan 13 — 24 Oklahomaat OUOklahoma

Oklahoma leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJohn Mateer QB #1072/109, 883 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Whitt Newbauer QB #161/1, 6 YDS
RushingLloyd Avant RB #942 CAR, 164 YDS, 1 TD
John Mateer QB #1041 CAR, 76 YDS
Xavier Robinson RB #2113 CAR, 50 YDS
ReceivingIsaiah Sategna III WR #120 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD
Rocky Beers TE #8118 REC, 255 YDS, 2 TD
Trell Harris WR #116 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
Hayden Hansen TE #894 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesOwen Heinecke LB #3828
James Nesta LB #4718
Peyton Bowen DB #2217
SacksAdepoju Adebawore DL #342.5
Reggie Powers III DB #32
Kip Lewis LB #101
InterceptionsOmarion Robinson DB #21

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.