Wk 8 · 2026
Oklahoma Sooners at Mississippi State Bulldogs — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
Weather
80° / 52° overcast
6% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
SEC · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MSST by 0.7
SEC · 4-1
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start. Mississippi St is ranked #17 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Oklahoma form
W 27-24vs TEXL 13-41at UGAW 14-6vs UNML 10-17at MICHW 51-0vs UTEP
2026 season
Mississippi St form
L 23-56vs ALAW 31-24vs MIZW 41-34at SCW 38-13at MINNW 62-13vs ULM
2026 season
Oklahoma this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Mississippi St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Oklahoma | Mississippi St |
|---|---|---|
| Texas SEC | N W 27-24 preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| South Carolina SEC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at W 41-34 preview |
| Ole Miss SEC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Missouri SEC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-24 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
Oklahoma leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | John Mateer QB #10 | 72/109, 883 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT |
| Whitt Newbauer QB #16 | 1/1, 6 YDS | |
| Rushing | Lloyd Avant RB #9 | 42 CAR, 164 YDS, 1 TD |
| John Mateer QB #10 | 41 CAR, 76 YDS | |
| Xavier Robinson RB #21 | 13 CAR, 50 YDS | |
| Receiving | Isaiah Sategna III WR #1 | 20 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD |
| Rocky Beers TE #81 | 18 REC, 255 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Trell Harris WR #11 | 6 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Hayden Hansen TE #89 | 4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Owen Heinecke LB #38 | 28 |
| James Nesta LB #47 | 18 | |
| Peyton Bowen DB #22 | 17 | |
| Sacks | Adepoju Adebawore DL #34 | 2.5 |
| Reggie Powers III DB #3 | 2 | |
| Kip Lewis LB #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Omarion Robinson DB #2 | 1 |
Mississippi St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 102/154, 1450 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT |
| Parker Puckett QB #15 | 8/14, 89 YDS | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 74 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 43 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kolin Wilson RB #6 | 31 CAR, 131 YDS | |
| Receiving | Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 40 REC, 574 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sanfrisco Magee WR #13 | 16 REC, 259 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Marquis Johnson WR #2 | 13 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zion Ragins WR #7 | 11 REC, 184 YDS, 4 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 31 |
| Jalen Smith LB #10 | 28 | |
| Amaree Williams EDGE #4 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 |
| Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 2 | |
| Jaray Bledsoe DL #9 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen Smith LB #10 | 1 |
| Dre Riley S #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.