Wk 13 · 2026
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels — Fri, Nov 27
Fri, Nov 27 ·
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
· ABC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 4-1
at
12:00pET
MISS -14.5 · total 57.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MISS by 5.0
SEC · 4-1
What is at stake
Egg Bowl. The Golden Egg has been the entire point of the season in Mississippi since 1927, and it is played the day after Thanksgiving with both fan bases hoarse. They play for the Golden Egg. A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Mississippi St is ranked #17 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Mississippi St form
L 23-56vs ALAW 31-24vs MIZW 41-34at SCW 38-13at MINNW 62-13vs ULM
2026 season
Ole Miss form
W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season
Mississippi St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Ole Miss this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Mississippi St | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri SEC | vs W 31-24 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| LSU SEC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs W 32-24 preview |
| Oklahoma SEC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Texas SEC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Vanderbilt SEC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 52-17 preview |
| Auburn SEC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Ole Miss leads 11–9 · Ole Miss has won the last 3
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.1 points toward Ole Miss
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-28 | Ole Miss 38 — 19 Mississippi St | at MSST | Ole Miss |
| 2024 | 2024-11-29 | Mississippi St 14 — 26 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2023 | 2023-11-23 | Ole Miss 17 — 7 Mississippi St | at MSST | Ole Miss |
| 2022 | 2022-11-24 | Mississippi St 24 — 22 Ole Miss | at MISS | Mississippi St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-25 | Ole Miss 31 — 21 Mississippi St | at MSST | Ole Miss |
| 2020 | 2020-11-28 | Mississippi St 24 — 31 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2019 | 2019-11-28 | Ole Miss 20 — 21 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-22 | Mississippi St 35 — 3 Ole Miss | at MISS | Mississippi St |
| 2017 | 2017-11-23 | Ole Miss 31 — 28 Mississippi St | at MSST | Ole Miss |
| 2016 | 2016-11-26 | Mississippi St 55 — 20 Ole Miss | at MISS | Mississippi St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | Ole Miss 38 — 27 Mississippi St | at MSST | Ole Miss |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Mississippi St 17 — 31 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2013 | 2013-11-28 | Ole Miss 10 — 17 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-24 | Mississippi St 24 — 41 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2011 | 2011-11-26 | Ole Miss 3 — 31 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2010 | 2010-11-27 | Mississippi St 31 — 23 Ole Miss | at MISS | Mississippi St |
| 2009 | 2009-11-28 | Ole Miss 27 — 41 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2008 | 2008-11-28 | Mississippi St 0 — 45 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2007 | 2007-11-23 | Ole Miss 14 — 17 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2006 | 2006-11-25 | Mississippi St 17 — 20 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
Mississippi St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 102/154, 1450 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT |
| Parker Puckett QB #15 | 8/14, 89 YDS | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 74 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 43 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kolin Wilson RB #6 | 31 CAR, 131 YDS | |
| Receiving | Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 40 REC, 574 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sanfrisco Magee WR #13 | 16 REC, 259 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Marquis Johnson WR #2 | 13 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zion Ragins WR #7 | 11 REC, 184 YDS, 4 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 31 |
| Jalen Smith LB #10 | 28 | |
| Amaree Williams EDGE #4 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 |
| Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 2 | |
| Jaray Bledsoe DL #9 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen Smith LB #10 | 1 |
| Dre Riley S #21 | 1 |
Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Deuce Knight QB #2 | 4/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kewan Lacy RB #5 | 39 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD |
| Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 28 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Makhi Frazier RB #25 | 17 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Receiving | Deuce Alexander WR #1 | 27 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD |
| Caleb Odom TE #4 | 13 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Traylon Ray WR #7 | 13 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Horatio Fields WR #11 | 15 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Keaton Thomas LB #11 | 29 |
| Luke Ferrelli LB #12 | 27 | |
| Tah'j Butler LB #49 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Blake Purchase DE #3 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Renaud DE #1 | 1 | |
| Kam Franklin DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Cull S #29 | 1 |
| Jaylon Braxton CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.