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Wk 9 · 2026

Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential PSU by 10.2

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Purdue: +3.1#57
Efficiency margin
Penn State: +10.9#28
Purdue: 34.4
Offense (pts/100)
Penn State: 35.3
Purdue: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
Penn State: 15.4
Purdue: 69.0
Pace (plays/g)
Penn State: 65.2
Purdue: 6.02
Yards / play
Penn State: 6.03
Purdue: 6.53
Yards / play allowed
Penn State: 5.12
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Purdue: 32.2
Points / game
Penn State: 30.5
Purdue: 31.3
Points allowed
Penn State: 18.5
Purdue: 416
Yards / game
Penn State: 393
Purdue: 401
Yards allowed
Penn State: 316
Purdue: 243
Pass yds allowed
Penn State: 150
Purdue: 158
Rush yds allowed
Penn State: 166
Purdue: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Penn State: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Purdue form

W 41-13vs MINNW 24-17at ILLL 10-49vs NDL 38-52at UCLAL 36-38vs WAKE
2026 season

Penn State form

L 23-31vs USCL 13-34at NUL 20-24vs WISW 55-13vs BUFW 27-9at TEM
2026 season

Purdue this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Penn State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentPurduePenn State
Minnesota
Big Ten
vs W 41-13 previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Washington
Big Ten
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Maryland
Big Ten
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Wisconsin
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs L 20-24 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Penn State leads 10–0 · Penn State has won the last 10
10 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 19.6 points toward Penn State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-16Penn State 49 — 10 Purdueat PURPenn State
20222022-09-01Penn State 35 — 31 Purdueat PURPenn State
20192019-10-05Purdue 7 — 35 Penn Stateat PSUPenn State
20162016-10-29Penn State 62 — 24 Purdueat PURPenn State
20132013-11-16Purdue 21 — 45 Penn Stateat PSUPenn State
20122012-11-03Penn State 34 — 9 Purdueat PURPenn State
20112011-10-15Purdue 18 — 23 Penn Stateat PSUPenn State
20082008-10-04Penn State 20 — 6 Purdueat PURPenn State
20072007-11-03Purdue 19 — 26 Penn Stateat PSUPenn State
20062006-10-28Penn State 12 — 0 Purdueat PURPenn State

Purdue leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRyan Browne QB #15110/156, 1390 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
Evans Chuba QB #111/14, 96 YDS, 1 TD
RushingFame Ijeboi RB #286 CAR, 354 YDS, 6 TD
Antonio Harris RB #2215 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Jerrick Gibson RB #418 CAR, 58 YDS
ReceivingAsaad Waseem WR #1927 REC, 453 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Townsend WR #328 REC, 307 YDS, 2 TD
Chauncey Magwood WR #514 REC, 177 YDS, 1 TD
Tra'Mar Harris WR #118 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesJojo Hayden LB #033
John Slaughter DB #1332
Charles Correa LB #532
SacksJeremy Lewis DE #331.5
Breeon Ishmail DE #581
Ian Jeffries DL #401
InterceptionsJohn Slaughter DB #131
Don Saunders DB #71
Charles Correa LB #51

Penn State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRocco Becht QB #383/134, 1108 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
Alex Manske QB #79/14, 102 YDS
RushingJames Peoples RB #145 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Carson Hansen RB #2143 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD
Quinton Martin Jr. RB #2529 CAR, 158 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKoby Howard WR #612 REC, 344 YDS, 2 TD
Chase Sowell WR #019 REC, 264 YDS, 2 TD
Benjamin Brahmer TE #1816 REC, 178 YDS, 3 TD
Brett Eskildsen WR #415 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesTony Rojas LB #1334
Kooper Ebel LB #829
Cael Brezina LB #920
SacksTony Rojas LB #133
Kooper Ebel LB #81
Caleb Bacon LB #101
InterceptionsTony Rojas LB #132
Daryus Dixson CB #51
Josiah Zayas CB #171
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.