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Wk 12 · 2026

Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WIS by 4.4
Big Ten · 3-3

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Wisconsin: +9.9#31
Efficiency margin
Purdue: +3.1#57
Wisconsin: 32.7
Offense (pts/100)
Purdue: 34.4
Wisconsin: 13.8
Defense (pts/100)
Purdue: 22.2
Wisconsin: 61.0
Pace (plays/g)
Purdue: 69.0
Wisconsin: 6.22
Yards / play
Purdue: 6.02
Wisconsin: 4.09
Yards / play allowed
Purdue: 6.53
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Wisconsin: 31.6
Points / game
Purdue: 32.2
Wisconsin: 16.6
Points allowed
Purdue: 31.3
Wisconsin: 379
Yards / game
Purdue: 416
Wisconsin: 267
Yards allowed
Purdue: 401
Wisconsin: 153
Pass yds allowed
Purdue: 243
Wisconsin: 115
Rush yds allowed
Purdue: 158
Wisconsin: 1.20
Turnovers / game
Purdue: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Wisconsin form

W 31-3vs MSUW 24-20at PSUW 54-10vs EMUW 36-9vs WIUL 13-41at ND
2026 season

Purdue form

W 41-13vs MINNW 24-17at ILLL 10-49vs NDL 38-52at UCLAL 36-38vs WAKE
2026 season

Wisconsin this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Purdue this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentWisconsinPurdue
Notre Dame
FBS Indep.
N L 13-41 previewvs L 10-49 preview
Penn State
Big Ten
at W 24-20 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
UCLA
Big Ten
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat L 38-52 preview
Iowa
Big Ten
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Maryland
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Minnesota
Big Ten
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs W 41-13 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Wisconsin leads 16–0 · Wisconsin has won the last 16
16 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 23.1 points toward Wisconsin
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-05Purdue 6 — 52 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20232023-09-22Wisconsin 38 — 17 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20222022-10-22Purdue 24 — 35 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20212021-10-23Wisconsin 30 — 13 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20192019-11-23Purdue 24 — 45 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20182018-11-17Wisconsin 47 — 44 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20172017-10-14Purdue 9 — 17 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20162016-11-19Wisconsin 49 — 20 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20152015-10-17Purdue 7 — 24 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20142014-11-08Wisconsin 34 — 16 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20132013-09-21Purdue 10 — 41 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20122012-10-13Wisconsin 38 — 14 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20112011-11-05Purdue 17 — 62 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20102010-11-06Wisconsin 34 — 13 Purdueat PURWisconsin
20092009-10-31Purdue 0 — 37 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20062006-10-21Wisconsin 24 — 3 Purdueat PURWisconsin

Wisconsin leaders 2026 regular season

PassingColton Joseph QB #181/143, 1132 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT
RushingColton Joseph QB #151 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD
Darrion Dupree RB #643 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
Abu Sama III RB #328 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTyrell Henry WR #026 REC, 339 YDS, 1 TD
Jacob Harris TE #8913 REC, 238 YDS, 3 TD
Chris Brooks Jr. WR #211 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD
Malachi Coleman WR #45 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCooper Catalano LB #4445
Mason Posa LB #840
Matthew Jung S #2932
SacksSebastian Cheeks LB #152.5
Hammond Russell IV DL #911.5
Charles Perkins DL #301
InterceptionsCharles Perkins DL #301
Mason Posa LB #81
Matthew Jung S #291

Purdue leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRyan Browne QB #15110/156, 1390 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
Evans Chuba QB #111/14, 96 YDS, 1 TD
RushingFame Ijeboi RB #286 CAR, 354 YDS, 6 TD
Antonio Harris RB #2215 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Jerrick Gibson RB #418 CAR, 58 YDS
ReceivingAsaad Waseem WR #1927 REC, 453 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Townsend WR #328 REC, 307 YDS, 2 TD
Chauncey Magwood WR #514 REC, 177 YDS, 1 TD
Tra'Mar Harris WR #118 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesJojo Hayden LB #033
John Slaughter DB #1332
Charles Correa LB #532
SacksJeremy Lewis DE #331.5
Breeon Ishmail DE #581
Ian Jeffries DL #401
InterceptionsJohn Slaughter DB #131
Don Saunders DB #71
Charles Correa LB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.