Wk 10 · 2026
South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates — Fri, Nov 6
Fri, Nov 6 ·
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC
· ESPN2
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 4-2
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 1.9
American · 3-2
What is at stake
A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
South Florida form
L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season
East Carolina form
W 28-12vs RICEW 42-9vs NCCUW 20-17at ODUL 24-27vs APPL 10-48at ALA
2026 season
South Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
East Carolina this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | South Florida | East Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Army American | at W 28-24 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Temple American | vs L 13-17 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| UAB American | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Memphis American | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| FAU American | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, South Florida leads 6–4 · East Carolina has won the last 3
10 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.4 points toward South Florida
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-10-01 | East Carolina 48 — 28 South Florida | neutral | East Carolina |
| 2021 | 2021-10-28 | South Florida 14 — 29 East Carolina | at ECU | East Carolina |
| 2020 | 2020-10-10 | East Carolina 44 — 24 South Florida | at USF | East Carolina |
| 2019 | 2019-10-26 | South Florida 45 — 20 East Carolina | at ECU | South Florida |
| 2018 | 2018-09-22 | East Carolina 13 — 20 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2017 | 2017-09-30 | South Florida 61 — 31 East Carolina | at ECU | South Florida |
| 2016 | 2016-10-08 | East Carolina 22 — 38 South Florida | at USF | South Florida |
| 2015 | 2015-11-07 | South Florida 22 — 17 East Carolina | at ECU | South Florida |
| 2014 | 2014-10-11 | East Carolina 28 — 17 South Florida | at USF | East Carolina |
| 2006 | 2006-12-23 | South Florida 24 — 7 East Carolina | neutral | South Florida bowl/CFP |
South Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 93/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD |
| Luke Kromenhoek QB #17 | 2/4, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | D.J. Crowther RB #5 | 94 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD |
| Jason Collins Jr. RB #2 | 41 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #3 | 39 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Bryson Rodgers WR #1 | 27 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD |
| Joshua Porter WR #80 | 20 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Seldon WR #0 | 8 REC, 116 YDS | |
| Arhmad Branch WR #4 | 11 REC, 108 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Ayden Jackson DB #5 | 37 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 32 | |
| Zavier Hamilton LB #25 | 30 | |
| Sacks | Michael Williams II DE #4 | 2.5 |
| Asani Redwood DT #11 | 2 | |
| Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Tayvion Beasley DB #15 | 1 |
| Tavin Ward S #2 | 1 |
East Carolina leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Mitch Griffis QB #12 | 36/67, 425 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Emory Williams QB #9 | 31/46, 386 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | TJ Engleman Jr. RB #4 | 31 CAR, 250 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ashton Gray RB #3 | 32 CAR, 152 YDS | |
| Mitch Griffis QB #12 | 22 CAR, 75 YDS | |
| Receiving | Ray Ray Joseph Jr. WR #1 | 19 REC, 199 YDS |
| Jeremiah Melvin WR #11 | 11 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Dillon Lorick WR #14 | 3 REC, 87 YDS | |
| Tyler Johnson WR #2 | 4 REC, 86 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | DJ Johnson Jr. LB #11 | 29 |
| Jackson Barker LB #1 | 25 | |
| Kevon Merrell Jr. DB #4 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Jasiyah Robinson DL #0 | 2.5 |
| Kieran Davis DL #5 | 2 | |
| Julien Davis LB #42 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Ayden Duncanson DB #13 | 2 |
| Myles Pollard DB #12 | 1 | |
| Angelo Ross DB #22 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.