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Wk 2 · 2026

South Florida Bulls at Army Black Knights — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Michie Stadium, West Point, NY · CBSSN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 4-2
28
at
12:00pET
ARMY -3 · total 45.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1.5 toward ARMY
Ratings differential ARMY by 3.4
American · 3-2
24

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

South Florida: -0.4#72
Efficiency margin
Army: +0.6#66
South Florida: 30.0
Offense (pts/100)
Army: 30.6
South Florida: 21.4
Defense (pts/100)
Army: 21.0
South Florida: 59.5
Pace (plays/g)
Army: 65.8
South Florida: 5.63
Yards / play
Army: 6.32
South Florida: 5.38
Yards / play allowed
Army: 6.60
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

South Florida: 26.2
Points / game
Army: 30.6
South Florida: 17.3
Points allowed
Army: 19.2
South Florida: 335
Yards / game
Army: 416
South Florida: 341
Yards allowed
Army: 355
South Florida: 184
Pass yds allowed
Army: 199
South Florida: 158
Rush yds allowed
Army: 156
South Florida: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Army: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

South Florida form

L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season

Army form

W 20-17vs TULNL 29-31at LTW 21-17at TEML 24-28vs USFW 59-3vs BRY
2026 season

South Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Army this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentSouth FloridaArmy
Temple
American
vs L 13-17 previewat W 21-17 preview
East Carolina
American
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Memphis
American
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
FAU
American
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Tulane
American
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs W 20-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, South Florida leads 1–0 · South Florida won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.0 points toward South Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12South Florida 28 — 24 Armyat ARMYSouth Florida

South Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. QB #393/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD
Luke Kromenhoek QB #172/4, 21 YDS
RushingD.J. Crowther RB #594 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
Jason Collins Jr. RB #241 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #339 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers WR #127 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD
Joshua Porter WR #8020 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Seldon WR #08 REC, 116 YDS
Arhmad Branch WR #411 REC, 108 YDS
Defense
TacklesAyden Jackson DB #537
Tavin Ward S #232
Zavier Hamilton LB #2530
SacksMichael Williams II DE #42.5
Asani Redwood DT #112
Tayvion Beasley DB #151
InterceptionsTayvion Beasley DB #151
Tavin Ward S #21

Army leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCale Hellums QB #328/49, 337 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Zach Mundell WR #11/1, 37 YDS
RushingCale Hellums QB #366 CAR, 301 YDS, 6 TD
Samari Howard WR #2727 CAR, 293 YDS, 1 TD
Godspower Nwawuihe RB #737 CAR, 164 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBrady Anderson OL #717 REC, 102 YDS
Zach Mundell WR #17 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
Samari Howard WR #277 REC, 73 YDS
Tobi Olawole WR #111 REC, 37 YDS
Defense
TacklesElijah Walton LB #4232
Jaquavious Moss LB #1919
Stephen Nnadozie S #318
SacksDillon Stowers DL #962
Elijah Walton LB #420.5
Nick Buchys DL #560.5
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.