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Wk 9 · 2026

Stanford Cardinal at Louisville Cardinals — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LOU by 23.9

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Stanford: -12.9#114
Efficiency margin
Louisville: +8.6#37
Stanford: 25.4
Offense (pts/100)
Louisville: 38.6
Stanford: 29.2
Defense (pts/100)
Louisville: 21.1
Stanford: 63.2
Pace (plays/g)
Louisville: 63.5
Stanford: 5.01
Yards / play
Louisville: 7.79
Stanford: 6.80
Yards / play allowed
Louisville: 5.60
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Stanford: 15.7
Points / game
Louisville: 39.5
Stanford: 41.5
Points allowed
Louisville: 27.7
Stanford: 317
Yards / game
Louisville: 494
Stanford: 482
Yards allowed
Louisville: 413
Stanford: 289
Pass yds allowed
Louisville: 257
Stanford: 193
Rush yds allowed
Louisville: 156
Stanford: 0.83
Turnovers / game
Louisville: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Stanford form

L 7-58at NDL 3-57at WAKEW 34-27vs GTL 7-35at DUKEL 6-45vs MIA
2026 season

Louisville form

W 44-20vs FSUL 28-31at NCSUL 27-30vs WAKEW 41-31vs SMUW 59-13vs VILL
2026 season

Stanford this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Louisville this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentStanfordLouisville
Georgia Tech
ACC
vs W 34-27 previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Wake Forest
ACC
at L 3-57 previewvs L 27-30 preview
NC State
ACC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat L 28-31 preview
SMU
ACC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs W 41-31 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Stanford leads 1–0 · Stanford won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.0 points toward Stanford
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-11-16Louisville 35 — 38 Stanfordat STANStanford

Stanford leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDavis Warren QB #8102/173, 1207 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Michael Mitchell Jr. QB #95/8, 32 YDS
RushingMicah Ford RB #2082 CAR, 302 YDS, 4 TD
Sedrick Irvin RB #2635 CAR, 145 YDS
Champ Hampton RB #346 CAR, 27 YDS
ReceivingCaden High WR #017 REC, 266 YDS, 3 TD
Benji Blackburn TE #8820 REC, 159 YDS
Zion Robinson WR #27 REC, 155 YDS
Nico Brown WR #2310 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMatt Rose LB #3538
Jay Green S #531
Sam Mattingly LB #1024
SacksGabe Kaminski LB #492
Omar Staples DL #451.5
Sam Mattingly LB #100.5
InterceptionsBrandon Nicholson CB #91
Darrius Davis S #61
Charlie Eckhardt S #391

Louisville leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLincoln Kienholz QB #3107/154, 1534 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT
Briggs Cherry QB #102/2, 24 YDS
RushingIsaac Brown RB #174 CAR, 557 YDS, 4 TD
Keyjuan Brown RB #538 CAR, 367 YDS, 3 TD
Lincoln Kienholz QB #361 CAR, 198 YDS, 8 TD
ReceivingTre Richardson WR #029 REC, 445 YDS, 2 TD
Lawayne McCoy WR #720 REC, 420 YDS, 4 TD
TreyShun Hurry WR #224 REC, 271 YDS
Jaleel Skinner TE #1815 REC, 259 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesT.J. Capers LB #1148
Stanquan Clark LB #643
Kaleb Beasley DB #1043
SacksClev Lubin DL #504
Tyler Thompson DL #32.5
Benjamin Perry LB #232
InterceptionsKaleb Beasley DB #104
Stanquan Clark LB #61
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.