Wk 11 · 2026
Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 4-1
at
TBDET
TEX -2.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TEX by 0.6
#10 LSU Tigers
SEC · 4-2
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start. Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Texas form
L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season
LSU form
L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season
Texas this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
LSU this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Texas | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee SEC | at W 20-17 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Ole Miss SEC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at L 24-32 preview |
| Mississippi St SEC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Arkansas SEC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Texas A&M SEC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 35-6 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, LSU leads 1–0 · LSU won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.0 points toward LSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019-09-07 | LSU 45 — 38 Texas | at TEX | LSU |
Texas leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Arch Manning QB #16 | 73/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT |
| Karle Lacey Jr. QB #9 | 7/8, 63 YDS | |
| Rushing | Hollywood Smothers RB #2 | 41 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD |
| Raleek Brown RB #0 | 48 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Arch Manning QB #16 | 32 CAR, 82 YDS | |
| Receiving | Ryan Wingo WR #1 | 19 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cam Coleman WR #8 | 12 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Emmett Mosley V WR #3 | 12 REC, 173 YDS | |
| Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #4 | 6 REC, 81 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 29 |
| Jelani McDonald DB #4 | 26 | |
| Justin Cryer LB #28 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Colin Simmons EDGE #1 | 7.5 |
| Maraad Watson DL #88 | 2 | |
| Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 2 |
| Graceson Littleton DB #29 | 1 |
LSU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 92/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT |
| Landen Clark QB #11 | 14/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Dilin Jones RB #13 | 94 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 45 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Harlem Berry RB #22 | 27 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Winston Watkins Jr. WR #6 | 23 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jackson Harris WR #4 | 15 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Trey'Dez Green TE #14 | 14 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Eugene Wilson III WR #3 | 19 REC, 210 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | TJ Dottery LB #6 | 28 |
| Whit Weeks LB #7 | 23 | |
| Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 8 |
| Deuce Geralds DT #99 | 5 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tamarcus Cooley S #0 | 2 |
| Ja'Keem Jackson CB #8 | 1 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.