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Wk 12 · 2026

LSU Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 4-2
at
TBDET
LSU -1.5 · total 57.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential LSU by 1.8
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start. LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Tennessee is ranked #15 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

LSU: +18.7#10
Efficiency margin
Tennessee: +14.5#16
LSU: 40.9
Offense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 38.8
LSU: 13.2
Defense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 15.2
LSU: 81.0
Pace (plays/g)
Tennessee: 69.0
LSU: 6.48
Yards / play
Tennessee: 6.01
LSU: 4.28
Yards / play allowed
Tennessee: 4.71
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

LSU: 42.0
Points / game
Tennessee: 34.7
LSU: 18.5
Points allowed
Tennessee: 15.5
LSU: 525
Yards / game
Tennessee: 415
LSU: 251
Yards allowed
Tennessee: 294
LSU: 176
Pass yds allowed
Tennessee: 161
LSU: 74
Rush yds allowed
Tennessee: 132
LSU: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Tennessee: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

LSU form

L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season

Tennessee form

W 24-17at ARKW 24-14vs AUBL 17-20vs TEXW 42-9vs KENNW 45-24at GT
2026 season

LSU this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Tennessee this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentLSUTennessee
Texas A&M
SEC
vs W 35-6 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Kentucky
SEC
at L 34-35 previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Auburn
SEC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs W 24-14 preview
Alabama
SEC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Texas
SEC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs L 17-20 preview
Arkansas
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat W 24-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, LSU leads 5–1 · Tennessee won the last one
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.2 points toward LSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20222022-10-08Tennessee 40 — 13 LSUat LSUTennessee
20172017-11-18LSU 30 — 10 Tennesseeat TENNLSU
20112011-10-15LSU 38 — 7 Tennesseeat TENNLSU
20102010-10-02Tennessee 14 — 16 LSUat LSULSU
20072007-12-01Tennessee 14 — 21 LSUneutralLSU
20062006-11-04LSU 28 — 24 TennesseeneutralLSU

LSU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSam Leavitt QB #1092/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT
Landen Clark QB #1114/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDilin Jones RB #1394 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD
Sam Leavitt QB #1045 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD
Harlem Berry RB #2227 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingWinston Watkins Jr. WR #623 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Harris WR #415 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD
Trey'Dez Green TE #1414 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD
Eugene Wilson III WR #319 REC, 210 YDS
Defense
TacklesTJ Dottery LB #628
Whit Weeks LB #723
Princewill Umanmielen DE #122
SacksPrincewill Umanmielen DE #18
Deuce Geralds DT #995
Jordan Ross DE #291.5
InterceptionsTamarcus Cooley S #02
Ja'Keem Jackson CB #81
Jordan Ross DE #291

Tennessee leaders 2026 regular season

PassingFaizon Brandon QB #1161/101, 697 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
George MacIntyre QB #1214/20, 148 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop RB #1888 CAR, 540 YDS, 7 TD
Daune Morris RB #1746 CAR, 299 YDS, 2 TD
Faizon Brandon QB #1153 CAR, 130 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews WR #418 REC, 318 YDS, 3 TD
Braylon Staley WR #1417 REC, 140 YDS, 2 TD
Radarious Jackson WR #39 REC, 115 YDS
Ethan Davis TE #03 REC, 43 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesArion Carter LB #733
Amare Campbell LB #032
TJ Metcalf DB #123
SacksXavier Gilliam DL #24
Mariyon Dye DL #94
Tyree Weathersby DL #183.5
InterceptionsDejuan Lane DB #102
Kayin Lee DB #141
Jeremiah Telander LB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.