Wk 8 · 2026
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Weather
56° / 40° mostly clear
13% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big 12 · 5-0
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TTU by 9.5
Big 12 · 4-1
What is at stake
A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Texas Tech is ranked #11 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Texas Tech form
W 29-7at COLOW 49-14vs SHSUW 28-26vs HOUW 35-24at ORSTW 33-10vs ACU
2026 season
Cincinnati form
L 7-34at ARIZW 31-26vs KSUW 35-31vs M-OHW 62-10vs WCUW 34-15vs BC
2026 season
Texas Tech this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Cincinnati this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Texas Tech | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Big 12 | vs W 28-26 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Colorado Big 12 | at W 29-7 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Arizona Big 12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 7-34 preview |
| West Virginia Big 12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Texas Tech leads 1–0 · Texas Tech won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.0 points toward Texas Tech
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-09-28 | Cincinnati 41 — 44 Texas Tech | at TTU | Texas Tech |
Texas Tech leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Will Hammond QB #15 | 97/142, 1102 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Tommy Castellanos QB #1 | 2/4, 35 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | J'Koby Williams RB #20 | 63 CAR, 373 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cameron Dickey RB #8 | 57 CAR, 242 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Quinten Joyner RB #0 | 35 CAR, 151 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Kenny Johnson WR #4 | 17 REC, 298 YDS, 1 TD |
| Coy Eakin WR #3 | 16 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD | |
| J'Koby Williams RB #20 | 19 REC, 137 YDS | |
| Terrance Carter Jr. TE #7 | 13 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Austin Romaine LB #15 | 35 |
| Ben Roberts LB #13 | 32 | |
| John Curry LB #6 | 28 | |
| Sacks | A.J. Holmes Jr. DL #10 | 2.5 |
| Jamond Mathis LB #8 | 2.5 | |
| LaDamion Guyton LB #32 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | John Curry LB #6 | 2 |
| Brice Pollock CB #14 | 2 | |
| Austin Romaine LB #15 | 2 |
Cincinnati leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | JC French IV QB #4 | 86/123, 949 YDS, 6 TD |
| Liam O'Brien QB #10 | 5/5, 18 YDS | |
| Rushing | Gi'Bran Payne RB #6 | 62 CAR, 392 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cole Tabb RB #3 | 34 CAR, 330 YDS, 6 TD | |
| JC French IV QB #4 | 50 CAR, 193 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | JV Gibson WR #11 | 18 REC, 267 YDS, 3 TD |
| Isaiah Johnson WR #0 | 21 REC, 142 YDS | |
| Malachi Henry WR #9 | 6 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Larenzo Fenner WR #2 | 10 REC, 124 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jonathan Thompson LB #22 | 37 |
| Antwan Peek Jr. LB #3 | 36 | |
| Simeon Coleman LB #31 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Josh Hough DL #95 | 3 |
| Jonathan Thompson LB #22 | 2.5 | |
| Drew Logan EDGE #91 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | MJ Cannon DB #2 | 2 |
| Marqavious Saboor LB #5 | 1 | |
| Kenny Worthy CB #8 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.