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Wk 13 · 2026

Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls — Fri, Nov 27

Fri, Nov 27 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 46 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 2-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USF by 5.4
American · 4-2

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Will be played Nov. 27 or Nov. 28.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Tulane: -3.4#83
Efficiency margin
South Florida: -0.4#72
Tulane: 27.2
Offense (pts/100)
South Florida: 30.0
Tulane: 21.5
Defense (pts/100)
South Florida: 21.4
Tulane: 59.0
Pace (plays/g)
South Florida: 59.5
Tulane: 5.65
Yards / play
South Florida: 5.63
Tulane: 5.94
Yards / play allowed
South Florida: 5.38
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Tulane: 18.4
Points / game
South Florida: 26.2
Tulane: 22.6
Points allowed
South Florida: 17.3
Tulane: 333
Yards / game
South Florida: 335
Tulane: 407
Yards allowed
South Florida: 341
Tulane: 189
Pass yds allowed
South Florida: 184
Tulane: 219
Rush yds allowed
South Florida: 158
Tulane: 0.60
Turnovers / game
South Florida: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Tulane form

L 17-20at ARMYW 24-21vs USML 20-31at KSUW 28-24vs USAL 3-17at DUKE
2026 season

South Florida form

L 24-31at UTSAL 13-17vs TEMW 14-6at BGSUW 59-17vs DSUW 28-24at ARMY
2026 season

Tulane this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

South Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentTulaneSouth Florida
Army
American
at L 17-20 previewat W 28-24 preview
Memphis
American
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UTSA
American
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat L 24-31 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Tulane leads 4–1 · Tulane has won the last 4
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 20.0 points toward Tulane
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-09-28South Florida 10 — 45 Tulaneat TULNTulane
20222022-10-15Tulane 45 — 31 South Floridaat USFTulane
20212021-11-20South Florida 14 — 45 Tulaneat TULNTulane
20182018-11-03Tulane 41 — 15 South Floridaat USFTulane
20172017-10-21South Florida 34 — 28 Tulaneat TULNSouth Florida

Tulane leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKadin Semonza QB #350/93, 646 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Zeon Chriss-Gremillion QB #96/9, 64 YDS
RushingMaurice Turner RB #026 CAR, 277 YDS, 2 TD
Jaylin Lucas RB #1227 CAR, 238 YDS, 1 TD
Johnnie Daniels RB #643 CAR, 168 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDestyn Hill WR #212 REC, 169 YDS, 1 TD
Anthony Brown-Stephens WR #511 REC, 144 YDS, 1 TD
Bredell Richardson WR #87 REC, 85 YDS
Maurice Turner RB #04 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKevin Adams III S #738
Dickson Agu LB #234
Jack Tchienchou S #128
SacksMakai Williams LB #422
Ed Smith IV DL #451
Geordan Guidry DL #961

South Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. QB #393/152, 1073 YDS, 5 TD
Luke Kromenhoek QB #172/4, 21 YDS
RushingD.J. Crowther RB #594 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
Jason Collins Jr. RB #241 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB #339 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers WR #127 REC, 312 YDS, 2 TD
Joshua Porter WR #8020 REC, 254 YDS, 2 TD
Cameron Seldon WR #08 REC, 116 YDS
Arhmad Branch WR #411 REC, 108 YDS
Defense
TacklesAyden Jackson DB #537
Tavin Ward S #232
Zavier Hamilton LB #2530
SacksMichael Williams II DE #42.5
Asani Redwood DT #112
Tayvion Beasley DB #151
InterceptionsTayvion Beasley DB #151
Tavin Ward S #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.