Also oursNFL Schedulethis site, for the NFLThe CFB Kingodds and projections — a paid site
CFB Schedule college football
CFBNFL
Wk 6 · 2026

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC · CW FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
ACC · 5-1
38
at
12:00pET
WAKE -3.5 · total 56.5 DraftKings opened +3 · 0.5 toward WAKE
Ratings differential WAKE by 7.3
NC State Wolfpack
ACC · 3-3
14

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Wake Forest: +11.2#27
Efficiency margin
NC State: +1.5#64
Wake Forest: 36.5
Offense (pts/100)
NC State: 33.7
Wake Forest: 16.3
Defense (pts/100)
NC State: 23.1
Wake Forest: 65.8
Pace (plays/g)
NC State: 71.0
Wake Forest: 6.61
Yards / play
NC State: 6.00
Wake Forest: 4.70
Yards / play allowed
NC State: 6.06
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Wake Forest: 36.8
Points / game
NC State: 33.0
Wake Forest: 21.5
Points allowed
NC State: 27.7
Wake Forest: 435
Yards / game
NC State: 426
Wake Forest: 332
Yards allowed
NC State: 364
Wake Forest: 237
Pass yds allowed
NC State: 230
Wake Forest: 95
Rush yds allowed
NC State: 134
Wake Forest: 0.50
Turnovers / game
NC State: 1.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Wake Forest form

W 38-14at NCSUW 57-3vs STANW 30-27at LOUL 20-33vs MIAW 38-36at PUR
2026 season

NC State form

L 14-38vs WAKEW 31-28vs LOUW 41-31vs APPL 31-35at VANW 73-0vs RICH
2026 season

Wake Forest this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

NC State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentWake ForestNC State
Louisville
ACC
at W 30-27 previewvs W 31-28 preview
Stanford
ACC
vs W 57-3 previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
California
ACC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Virginia
ACC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 8-34 preview
Duke
ACC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Wake Forest leads 11–10 · Wake Forest won the last one
21 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.4 points toward NC State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10Wake Forest 38 — 14 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest
20252025-09-11NC State 34 — 24 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20242024-10-05Wake Forest 34 — 30 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest
20232023-11-11NC State 26 — 6 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20222022-11-05Wake Forest 21 — 30 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20212021-11-13NC State 42 — 45 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20202020-09-19Wake Forest 42 — 45 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20192019-11-02NC State 10 — 44 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20182018-11-08Wake Forest 27 — 23 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest
20172017-11-18NC State 24 — 30 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20162016-10-01Wake Forest 16 — 33 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20152015-10-24NC State 35 — 17 Wake Forestat WAKENC State
20142014-11-15Wake Forest 13 — 42 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20132013-10-05NC State 13 — 28 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20122012-11-10Wake Forest 6 — 37 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20112011-09-10NC State 27 — 34 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20102010-11-13Wake Forest 3 — 38 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20092009-10-03NC State 24 — 30 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20082008-11-15Wake Forest 17 — 21 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20072007-11-17NC State 18 — 38 Wake Forestat WAKEWake Forest
20062006-10-14Wake Forest 25 — 23 NC Stateat NCSUWake Forest

Wake Forest leaders 2026 regular season

PassingGio Lopez QB #398/151, 1377 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT
Steele Pizzella QB #63/6, 63 YDS
RushingTy Clark III RB #450 CAR, 258 YDS, 3 TD
Deuce Lawrence RB #2247 CAR, 235 YDS, 2 TD
Gio Lopez QB #348 CAR, 192 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingCarlos Hernandez WR #837 REC, 603 YDS, 3 TD
Jack Foley WR #109 REC, 172 YDS, 2 TD
Kam Shanks WR #512 REC, 162 YDS, 1 TD
Antonio Meeks WR #148 REC, 155 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesVincent Firenze LB #2337
Davaughn Patterson DB #536
Aiden Hall LB #2135
SacksLangston Hardy DL #113
Gabe Kirschke DL #103
Zach Lohavichan DL #941.5
InterceptionsDallas Afalava DL #521
Somad Eaddy DB #381
full roster and per-player history

NC State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #1198/150, 1266 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Will Wilson QB #108/11, 33 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJayden Scott RB #162 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Davion Gause RB #746 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
Will Wilson QB #1035 CAR, 166 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson WR #822 REC, 339 YDS, 5 TD
Preston Douglas TE #1919 REC, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Joshisa Trader WR #216 REC, 221 YDS
Davion Gause RB #710 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesPopo Aguirre LB #042
Brian Nelson II CB #724
Ronnie Royal III S #218
SacksElijah Satchell LB #582
Harvey Dyson III LB #51.5
Chase Bond DE #921
InterceptionsJackson Vick CB #221
Brody Barnhardt S #291
Jaren Sensabaugh CB #141
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.