Wk 6 · 2026
Air Force Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Huskie Stadium, Dekalb
· CBSSN
Mountain West · no games yet
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 3.3
Mountain West · no games yet
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The College King’s 2025 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2025 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2025 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row; the
brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is always the better number
— including the rows where a lower figure is the good one.
Team stats · 2025 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2025 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Air Force form
W 42-21at CSUL 3-20vs UNML 16-26at CONNW 26-16at SJSUL 17-20vs ARMY
2025 season
N Illinois form
L 31-35vs KENTL 19-35vs WMUW 45-3at MASSL 3-42at TOLW 21-7vs BALL
2025 season
Air Force this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
N Illinois this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked when the game goes final. There is no line archive before this season, so these records begin with 2026 Week 1.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Air Force | N Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
Air Force leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 75/120, 1294 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT |
| Josh Johnson QB #11 | 16/28, 374 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 190 CAR, 922 YDS, 13 TD |
| Owen Allen RB #2 | 132 CAR, 750 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Dylan Carson RB #5 | 90 CAR, 418 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Cade Harris WR #21 | 35 REC, 584 YDS, 2 TD |
| Bruin Fleischmann TE #88 | 21 REC, 370 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Quin Smith WR #18 | 15 REC, 358 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 12 REC, 260 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 108 |
| Roger Jones Jr. DB #5 | 76 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 59 | |
| Sacks | Isaac Hubert LB #30 | 5 |
| Jackson Adams LB #58 | 3 | |
| Aidan Swartz DT #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 3 |
| Roger Jones Jr. DB #5 | 2 | |
| Levi Brown CB #9 | 1 |
N Illinois leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Josh Holst QB #15 | 78/130, 689 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT |
| Brady Davidson QB #2 | 40/87, 384 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Chavon Wright RB #10 | 196 CAR, 875 YDS, 5 TD |
| Telly Johnson Jr. RB #45 | 124 CAR, 712 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jalen Macon QB #14 | 45 CAR, 216 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | DeAree Rogers WR #1 | 46 REC, 506 YDS, 3 TD |
| Gary Givens III WR #7 | 12 REC, 145 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rickey Taylor Jr. WR #3 | 9 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Telly Johnson Jr. RB #45 | 16 REC, 97 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Quinn Urwiler LB #32 | 141 |
| Filip Maciorowski LB #12 | 87 | |
| Jasper Beeler S #18 | 77 | |
| Sacks | Filip Maciorowski LB #12 | 2.5 |
| Roy Williams EDGE #97 | 2 | |
| Jay'shon Thomas DE #18 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Jasper Beeler S #18 | 3 |
| Muhammad Jammeh S #4 | 2 | |
| James Finley DB #29 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.