Wk 8 · 2026
Air Force Falcons at Wyoming Cowboys — Fri, Oct 23
Fri, Oct 23 ·
War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
· CW
Mountain West · 4-1
at
9:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential AF by 6.5
Mountain West · 3-3
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Air Force form
W 28-7at NIUW 14-9vs NAVYW 36-33at NEVL 32-38vs NDSUW 34-0vs DUQ
2026 season
Wyoming form
W 16-13at SJSUL 0-28at NDSUW 27-10vs HAWL 10-24at CMUW 21-13vs UNCO
2026 season
Air Force this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Wyoming this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Air Force | Wyoming |
|---|---|---|
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs L 32-38 preview | at L 0-28 preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | at W 28-7 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| UConn FBS Indep. | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 16-13 preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Air Force leads 11–8 · Air Force won the last one
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.5 points toward Air Force
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-18 | Wyoming 21 — 24 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2024 | 2024-09-28 | Air Force 19 — 31 Wyoming | at WYO | Wyoming |
| 2023 | 2023-10-14 | Wyoming 27 — 34 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2022 | 2022-09-16 | Air Force 14 — 17 Wyoming | at WYO | Wyoming |
| 2021 | 2021-10-09 | Wyoming 14 — 24 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | Wyoming 6 — 20 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | Air Force 27 — 35 Wyoming | at WYO | Wyoming |
| 2017 | 2017-11-11 | Wyoming 28 — 14 Air Force | at AF | Wyoming |
| 2016 | 2016-10-08 | Air Force 26 — 35 Wyoming | at WYO | Wyoming |
| 2015 | 2015-10-10 | Wyoming 17 — 31 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2014 | 2014-09-06 | Air Force 13 — 17 Wyoming | at WYO | Wyoming |
| 2013 | 2013-09-21 | Wyoming 56 — 23 Air Force | at AF | Wyoming |
| 2012 | 2012-10-13 | Air Force 28 — 27 Wyoming | at WYO | Air Force |
| 2011 | 2011-11-12 | Wyoming 25 — 17 Air Force | at AF | Wyoming |
| 2010 | 2010-09-25 | Air Force 20 — 14 Wyoming | at WYO | Air Force |
| 2009 | 2009-10-17 | Wyoming 0 — 10 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2008 | 2008-09-06 | Air Force 23 — 3 Wyoming | at WYO | Air Force |
| 2007 | 2007-10-20 | Wyoming 12 — 20 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2006 | 2006-09-23 | Air Force 31 — 24 Wyoming | at WYO | Air Force |
Air Force leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 19/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Medders QB #5 | 3/7, 47 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 92 CAR, 391 YDS, 7 TD |
| Rocco Conti RB #44 | 35 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kemper Hodges QB #4 | 23 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Simon Kibbee TE #80 | 6 REC, 103 YDS |
| Adam Hrynciw WR #10 | 4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Matt Long WR #3 | 4 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 3 REC, 39 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 44 |
| Dallas Daley LB #8 | 28 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 15 | |
| Sacks | Max Mustell DB #36 | 2 |
| Jaylin Reese LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 1 |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Korey Johnson DB #2 | 1 |
Wyoming leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Tyler Hughes QB #6 | 82/136, 822 YDS, 3 TD, 7 INT |
| Bart Edmiston P #18 | 1/1, 7 YDS | |
| Rushing | Samuel Harris RB #1 | 65 CAR, 324 YDS, 2 TD |
| Markell Holman RB #8 | 58 CAR, 322 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Tyler Hughes QB #6 | 77 CAR, 276 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Jake Wilson TE #89 | 19 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD |
| Kyle Frendt TE #83 | 8 REC, 155 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Charlie Coenen WR #19 | 9 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Eric Richardson WR #2 | 8 REC, 88 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jones Thomas S #23 | 42 |
| Ethan Stuhlsatz LB #42 | 42 | |
| Gary Rutherford LB #26 | 33 | |
| Sacks | Esaia Bogar DE #11 | 3.5 |
| Jayden Williams (DT) DT #98 | 2.5 | |
| Tyler Hughes QB #6 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jones Thomas S #23 | 2 |
| Therman Williams S #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.