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Wk 10 · 2026

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
LSU -3.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential ALA by 6.3
SEC · 4-2

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start. Alabama is ranked #6 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Alabama: +27.4#1
Efficiency margin
LSU: +18.7#10
Alabama: 45.6
Offense (pts/100)
LSU: 40.9
Alabama: 9.2
Defense (pts/100)
LSU: 13.2
Alabama: 64.7
Pace (plays/g)
LSU: 81.0
Alabama: 7.00
Yards / play
LSU: 6.48
Alabama: 5.41
Yards / play allowed
LSU: 4.28
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Alabama: 44.2
Points / game
LSU: 42.0
Alabama: 20.7
Points allowed
LSU: 18.5
Alabama: 452
Yards / game
LSU: 525
Alabama: 336
Yards allowed
LSU: 251
Alabama: 236
Pass yds allowed
LSU: 176
Alabama: 100
Rush yds allowed
LSU: 74
Alabama: 1.17
Turnovers / game
LSU: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Alabama form

L 17-20vs UGAW 56-23at MSSTW 49-18vs SCW 50-36vs FSUW 45-17at UK
2026 season

LSU form

L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season

Alabama this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

LSU this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentAlabamaLSU
Kentucky
SEC
at W 45-17 previewat L 34-35 preview
Mississippi St
SEC
at W 56-23 previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Tennessee
SEC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Texas A&M
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs W 35-6 preview
Auburn
SEC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Alabama leads 15–6 · Alabama has won the last 3
21 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 9.5 points toward Alabama
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-08LSU 9 — 20 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20242024-11-09Alabama 42 — 13 LSUat LSUAlabama
20232023-11-04LSU 28 — 42 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20222022-11-05Alabama 31 — 32 LSUat LSULSU
20212021-11-06LSU 14 — 20 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20202020-12-05Alabama 55 — 17 LSUat LSUAlabama
20192019-11-09LSU 46 — 41 Alabamaat ALALSU
20182018-11-03Alabama 29 — 0 LSUat LSUAlabama
20172017-11-04LSU 10 — 24 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20162016-11-05Alabama 10 — 0 LSUat LSUAlabama
20152015-11-07LSU 16 — 30 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20142014-11-08Alabama 20 — 13 LSUat LSUAlabama
20132013-11-09LSU 17 — 38 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20122012-11-03Alabama 21 — 17 LSUat LSUAlabama
20112012-01-09Alabama 21 — 0 LSUneutralAlabama bowl/CFP
20112011-11-05LSU 9 — 6 Alabamaat ALALSU
20102010-11-06Alabama 21 — 24 LSUat LSULSU
20092009-11-07LSU 15 — 24 Alabamaat ALAAlabama
20082008-11-08Alabama 27 — 21 LSUat LSUAlabama
20072007-11-03LSU 41 — 34 Alabamaat ALALSU
20062006-11-11Alabama 14 — 28 LSUat LSULSU

Alabama leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKeelon Russell QB #1294/132, 1414 YDS, 11 TD, 2 INT
Austin Mack QB #103/4, 23 YDS
RushingDaniel Hill RB #451 CAR, 247 YDS, 4 TD
Trae'shawn Brown RB #1742 CAR, 211 YDS, 5 TD
EJ Crowell RB #1326 CAR, 204 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingRyan Coleman-Williams WR #120 REC, 376 YDS, 4 TD
Lotzeir Brooks WR #321 REC, 352 YDS, 1 TD
Rico Scott WR #716 REC, 196 YDS, 3 TD
Marshall Pritchett TE #97 REC, 148 YDS
Defense
TacklesLuke Metz LB #438
Caleb Woodson LB #733
Red Morgan DB #622
SacksDevan Thompkins DL #13
Terrance Green DL #992.5
Caleb Woodson LB #72
InterceptionsRed Morgan DB #62
Yhonzae Pierre LB #01
Caleb Woodson LB #71

LSU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSam Leavitt QB #1092/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT
Landen Clark QB #1114/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDilin Jones RB #1394 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD
Sam Leavitt QB #1045 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD
Harlem Berry RB #2227 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingWinston Watkins Jr. WR #623 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Harris WR #415 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD
Trey'Dez Green TE #1414 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD
Eugene Wilson III WR #319 REC, 210 YDS
Defense
TacklesTJ Dottery LB #628
Whit Weeks LB #723
Princewill Umanmielen DE #122
SacksPrincewill Umanmielen DE #18
Deuce Geralds DT #995
Jordan Ross DE #291.5
InterceptionsTamarcus Cooley S #02
Ja'Keem Jackson CB #81
Jordan Ross DE #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.