Wk 6 · 2026
LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
· ESPN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
LSU -9.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened +10.5 · 1 toward UK
Ratings differential LSU by 5.7
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
LSU form
L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season
Kentucky form
W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season
LSU this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Kentucky this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | LSU | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M SEC | vs W 35-6 preview | at W 31-21 preview |
| Alabama SEC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs L 17-45 preview |
| Tennessee SEC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 3–3 · Kentucky has won the last 2
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
14.5 points toward LSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-10 | LSU 34 — 35 Kentucky | at UK | Kentucky |
| 2021 | 2021-10-09 | LSU 21 — 42 Kentucky | at UK | Kentucky |
| 2014 | 2014-10-18 | Kentucky 3 — 41 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2011 | 2011-10-01 | Kentucky 7 — 35 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2007 | 2007-10-13 | LSU 37 — 43 Kentucky | at UK | Kentucky |
| 2006 | 2006-10-14 | Kentucky 0 — 49 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
LSU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 92/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT |
| Landen Clark QB #11 | 14/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Dilin Jones RB #13 | 94 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 45 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Harlem Berry RB #22 | 27 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Winston Watkins Jr. WR #6 | 23 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jackson Harris WR #4 | 15 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Trey'Dez Green TE #14 | 14 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Eugene Wilson III WR #3 | 19 REC, 210 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | TJ Dottery LB #6 | 28 |
| Whit Weeks LB #7 | 23 | |
| Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 8 |
| Deuce Geralds DT #99 | 5 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tamarcus Cooley S #0 | 2 |
| Ja'Keem Jackson CB #8 | 1 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1 |
Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kenny Minchey QB #3 | 97/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT |
| Callum Wither QB #10 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | CJ Baxter RB #1 | 68 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD |
| Jason Patterson RB #26 | 45 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jovantae Barnes RB #2 | 20 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kenny Darby WR #19 | 25 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD |
| Willie Rodriguez TE #81 | 22 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Nic Anderson WR #4 | 9 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Henry Boyer TE #87 | 8 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Grant Godfrey LB #22 | 43 |
| Jordan Castell DB #5 | 42 | |
| Ty Bryant DB #14 | 39 | |
| Sacks | Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #90 | 2.5 |
| Grant Godfrey LB #22 | 2 | |
| Tavion Gadson DL #94 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jordan Castell DB #5 | 2 |
| Grant Godfrey LB #22 | 1 | |
| Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #90 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.