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Wk 6 · 2026

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ohio Bobcats — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Peden Stadium, Athens, OH · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
OHIO -2.5 · total 45.5 DraftKings opened -3.5 · 1 toward CMU
Ratings differential OHIO by 8.0
MAC · 4-2
31

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

C Michigan: -13.0#115
Efficiency margin
Ohio: -7.4#98
C Michigan: 22.6
Offense (pts/100)
Ohio: 26.5
C Michigan: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
Ohio: 24.9
C Michigan: 57.7
Pace (plays/g)
Ohio: 63.8
C Michigan: 4.94
Yards / play
Ohio: 5.57
C Michigan: 5.69
Yards / play allowed
Ohio: 5.57
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

C Michigan: 17.0
Points / game
Ohio: 27.5
C Michigan: 26.3
Points allowed
Ohio: 24.7
C Michigan: 285
Yards / game
Ohio: 355
C Michigan: 373
Yards allowed
Ohio: 349
C Michigan: 195
Pass yds allowed
Ohio: 208
C Michigan: 178
Rush yds allowed
Ohio: 141
C Michigan: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Ohio: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

Ohio form

W 31-14vs CMUW 13-10at KENTW 35-7vs STOL 36-41at USAW 29-27vs JXST
2026 season

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Ohio this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentC MichiganOhio
Akron
MAC
vs W 41-17 previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Miami OH
MAC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
E Michigan
MAC
N Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Sacramento St
MAC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Ball State
MAC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, C Michigan leads 9–4 · Ohio has won the last 3
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.8 points toward C Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10C Michigan 14 — 31 Ohioat OHIOOhio
20242024-10-12Ohio 27 — 25 C Michiganat CMUOhio
20232023-11-15C Michigan 20 — 34 Ohioat OHIOOhio
20212021-10-09C Michigan 30 — 27 Ohioat OHIOC Michigan
20202020-11-04Ohio 27 — 30 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20172017-10-07C Michigan 26 — 23 Ohioat OHIOC Michigan
20162016-11-15Ohio 20 — 27 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20142014-10-04Ohio 10 — 28 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20132013-10-12C Michigan 26 — 23 Ohioat OHIOC Michigan
20112011-11-10Ohio 43 — 28 C Michiganat CMUOhio
20092009-12-04Ohio 10 — 20 C MichiganneutralC Michigan
20082008-09-13C Michigan 31 — 28 Ohioat OHIOC Michigan
20062006-11-30C Michigan 31 — 10 OhioneutralC Michigan

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191

Ohio leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMatt Vezza QB #940/58, 439 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Nick Poulos QB #816/36, 180 YDS, 1 TD
RushingVictor Rosa RB #456 CAR, 219 YDS, 4 TD
Duncan Brune RB #645 CAR, 184 YDS
Matt Vezza QB #936 CAR, 182 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingRiley Neer WR #1523 REC, 338 YDS, 4 TD
Dom Dorwart WR #311 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD
Preston Bowman WR #27 REC, 63 YDS
Riley Palmeter TE #855 REC, 61 YDS
Defense
TacklesMichael Molnar LB #2544
Jack Fries LB #2736
JT Haskins S #328
SacksIke Ackerman DE #143.5
Michael Molnar LB #251
Nathan Hale DT #571
InterceptionsMichael Molnar LB #251
Kendall Bannister CB #201
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.