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Wk 11 · 2026

Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas — Wed, Nov 11

Wed, Nov 11 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 30 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CMU by 14.1

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Sacramento St: -24.7#137
Efficiency margin
C Michigan: -13.0#115
Sacramento St: 17.8
Offense (pts/100)
C Michigan: 22.6
Sacramento St: 33.5
Defense (pts/100)
C Michigan: 26.6
Sacramento St: 67.3
Pace (plays/g)
C Michigan: 57.7
Sacramento St: 4.58
Yards / play
C Michigan: 4.94
Sacramento St: 5.90
Yards / play allowed
C Michigan: 5.69
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Sacramento St: 16.3
Points / game
C Michigan: 17.0
Sacramento St: 30.2
Points allowed
C Michigan: 26.3
Sacramento St: 308
Yards / game
C Michigan: 285
Sacramento St: 348
Yards allowed
C Michigan: 373
Sacramento St: 186
Pass yds allowed
C Michigan: 195
Sacramento St: 161
Rush yds allowed
C Michigan: 178
Sacramento St: 2.00
Turnovers / game
C Michigan: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Sacramento St form

L 10-38at BGSUL 6-35vs MASSL 10-31vs NDSUL 3-49at FRESW 52-0vs MVSU
2026 season

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

Sacramento St this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentSacramento StC Michigan
E Michigan
MAC
at L 17-28 previewN Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Ohio
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat L 14-31 preview
Ball State
MAC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Sacramento St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Sharman QB #882/142, 856 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT
Carson Conklin QB #1725/46, 222 YDS, 1 INT
RushingIsaiah Ene RB #2229 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Daniel Swinney RB #028 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
Cincere Rhaney RB #330 CAR, 120 YDS
ReceivingMatt Coleman WR #226 REC, 369 YDS, 3 TD
Onterrio Smith Jr. WR #1222 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD
Raiden Brown WR #516 REC, 149 YDS
Jordan Williams TE #1615 REC, 122 YDS
Defense
TacklesBoogsie Silvera S #133
Amari Wallace S #324
Alex Rocha LB #3321
SacksFata Puloka LB #181.5
Nick Dimitris DL #51
Alex Rocha LB #331

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.