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Wk 5 · 2026

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
MASS -5.5 · total 48.5 DraftKings opened -3.5 · 2 toward MASS
Ratings differential MASS by 0.0

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

E Michigan: -13.9#120
Efficiency margin
UMass: -16.3#128
E Michigan: 23.2
Offense (pts/100)
UMass: 21.1
E Michigan: 28.1
Defense (pts/100)
UMass: 28.4
E Michigan: 66.4
Pace (plays/g)
UMass: 55.5
E Michigan: 4.91
Yards / play
UMass: 6.11
E Michigan: 5.85
Yards / play allowed
UMass: 4.60
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

E Michigan: 22.6
Points / game
UMass: 29.7
E Michigan: 24.7
Points allowed
UMass: 18.2
E Michigan: 326
Yards / game
UMass: 339
E Michigan: 365
Yards allowed
UMass: 301
E Michigan: 230
Pass yds allowed
UMass: 191
E Michigan: 135
Rush yds allowed
UMass: 109
E Michigan: 1.14
Turnovers / game
UMass: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

E Michigan form

W 25-23at AKRW 38-14at MASSW 29-3vs LINL 10-54at WISL 7-35at MSU
2026 season

UMass form

L 19-20vs M-OHL 14-38vs EMUW 35-6at SACW 36-14vs STOW 37-10vs SHU
2026 season

E Michigan this season

Straight up4-3 · 57% (7 games)
Against the spread3-4 · 43% (7 games)
Over / under2-5 · 29% (7 games)

UMass this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentE MichiganUMass
Sacramento St
MAC
vs W 28-17 previewat W 35-6 preview
Akron
MAC
at W 25-23 previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Toledo
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, E Michigan leads 5–2 · E Michigan has won the last 5
7 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.0 points toward E Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03E Michigan 38 — 14 UMassat MASSE Michigan
20242024-08-31E Michigan 28 — 14 UMassat MASSE Michigan
20232023-09-16UMass 17 — 19 E Michiganat EMUE Michigan
20222022-10-01UMass 13 — 20 E Michiganat EMUE Michigan
20212021-09-18E Michigan 42 — 28 UMassat MASSE Michigan
20152015-11-14UMass 28 — 17 E Michiganat EMUUMass
20142014-10-18E Michigan 14 — 36 UMassat MASSUMass

E Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNoah Kim QB #1127/203, 1187 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Jace Stuckey QB #122/2, 14 YDS
RushingAmareon Blue RB #1560 CAR, 309 YDS, 3 TD
Braydon Bennett RB #2844 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
Joey Mattord RB #2435 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingHarold Mack WR #523 REC, 264 YDS, 2 TD
Benson Prosper WR #324 REC, 251 YDS, 1 TD
Joshua Long TE #922 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD
Nick Devereaux WR #215 REC, 143 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesZach Mowchan LB #1150
Jason Marshall DB #1331
Bryce Llewellyn DB #628
SacksQuincy Byas DL #542
Ronn Hardin DL #882
Joseph Oluwayemi DL #981
InterceptionsCaleb Dobbs DB #172
Jason Marshall DB #131
Rayquan Adkins DB #251

UMass leaders 2026 regular season

PassingWilliam Watson III QB #574/100, 820 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Aedan McCarthy QB #132/4, 11 YDS
RushingCurtis Kimmons IV RB #1445 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD
Elijah Faulkner RB #2352 CAR, 246 YDS
William Watson III QB #530 CAR, 167 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingT.Y. Harding WR #219 REC, 236 YDS, 2 TD
Jabari Lewis WR #1910 REC, 152 YDS
Joseph Griffin Jr. WR #18 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Max Dowling TE #1111 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesTimmy Hinspeter LB #4440
Tyler Martin LB #529
Kendall Bournes S #329
SacksWilliam DePaepe DL #982
Joshua Nobles DL #21.5
Hollis Dirstine DL #951.5
InterceptionsJahmad Harmon S #223
Isaiah Reed CB #01
Timmy Hinspeter LB #441
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.