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Wk 1 · 2026

Sacramento State Hornets at Eastern Michigan Eagles — Sat, Aug 29

Sat, Aug 29 · Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
6:30pET
EMU -8.5 · total 52.5 DraftKings opened -10 · 1.5 toward SAC
Ratings differential EMU by 13.2

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Sacramento St: -24.7#137
Efficiency margin
E Michigan: -13.9#120
Sacramento St: 17.8
Offense (pts/100)
E Michigan: 23.2
Sacramento St: 33.5
Defense (pts/100)
E Michigan: 28.1
Sacramento St: 67.3
Pace (plays/g)
E Michigan: 66.4
Sacramento St: 4.58
Yards / play
E Michigan: 4.91
Sacramento St: 5.90
Yards / play allowed
E Michigan: 5.85
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Sacramento St: 16.3
Points / game
E Michigan: 22.6
Sacramento St: 30.2
Points allowed
E Michigan: 24.7
Sacramento St: 308
Yards / game
E Michigan: 326
Sacramento St: 348
Yards allowed
E Michigan: 365
Sacramento St: 186
Pass yds allowed
E Michigan: 230
Sacramento St: 161
Rush yds allowed
E Michigan: 135
Sacramento St: 2.00
Turnovers / game
E Michigan: 1.14
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Sacramento St form

L 10-38at BGSUL 6-35vs MASSL 10-31vs NDSUL 3-49at FRESW 52-0vs MVSU
2026 season

E Michigan form

W 25-23at AKRW 38-14at MASSW 29-3vs LINL 10-54at WISL 7-35at MSU
2026 season

Sacramento St this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

E Michigan this season

Straight up4-3 · 57% (7 games)
Against the spread3-4 · 43% (7 games)
Over / under2-5 · 29% (7 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentSacramento StE Michigan
UMass
MAC
vs L 6-35 previewat W 38-14 preview
Ohio
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Kent State
MAC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Toledo
MAC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
C Michigan
MAC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewN Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, E Michigan leads 1–0 · E Michigan won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 11.0 points toward E Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-08-29Sacramento St 17 — 28 E Michiganat EMUE Michigan

Sacramento St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Sharman QB #882/142, 856 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT
Carson Conklin QB #1725/46, 222 YDS, 1 INT
RushingIsaiah Ene RB #2229 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Daniel Swinney RB #028 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
Cincere Rhaney RB #330 CAR, 120 YDS
ReceivingMatt Coleman WR #226 REC, 369 YDS, 3 TD
Onterrio Smith Jr. WR #1222 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD
Raiden Brown WR #516 REC, 149 YDS
Jordan Williams TE #1615 REC, 122 YDS
Defense
TacklesBoogsie Silvera S #133
Amari Wallace S #324
Alex Rocha LB #3321
SacksFata Puloka LB #181.5
Nick Dimitris DL #51
Alex Rocha LB #331

E Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNoah Kim QB #1127/203, 1187 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Jace Stuckey QB #122/2, 14 YDS
RushingAmareon Blue RB #1560 CAR, 309 YDS, 3 TD
Braydon Bennett RB #2844 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
Joey Mattord RB #2435 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingHarold Mack WR #523 REC, 264 YDS, 2 TD
Benson Prosper WR #324 REC, 251 YDS, 1 TD
Joshua Long TE #922 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD
Nick Devereaux WR #215 REC, 143 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesZach Mowchan LB #1150
Jason Marshall DB #1331
Bryce Llewellyn DB #628
SacksQuincy Byas DL #542
Ronn Hardin DL #882
Joseph Oluwayemi DL #981
InterceptionsCaleb Dobbs DB #172
Jason Marshall DB #131
Rayquan Adkins DB #251
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.