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Wk 8 · 2026

Iowa State Cyclones at Arizona Wildcats — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Casino Del Sol Stadium, Tucson, AZ

Weather

90° / 79° light drizzle
6% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big 12 · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ARIZ by 5.5
Big 12 · 5-1

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Iowa State: +5.9#43
Efficiency margin
Arizona: +9.0#35
Iowa State: 33.0
Offense (pts/100)
Arizona: 35.6
Iowa State: 18.1
Defense (pts/100)
Arizona: 17.6
Iowa State: 61.7
Pace (plays/g)
Arizona: 66.8
Iowa State: 5.83
Yards / play
Arizona: 6.83
Iowa State: 5.84
Yards / play allowed
Arizona: 4.87
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Iowa State: 29.7
Points / game
Arizona: 35.7
Iowa State: 21.7
Points allowed
Arizona: 19.0
Iowa State: 360
Yards / game
Arizona: 456
Iowa State: 352
Yards allowed
Arizona: 330
Iowa State: 198
Pass yds allowed
Arizona: 214
Iowa State: 154
Rush yds allowed
Arizona: 116
Iowa State: 0.83
Turnovers / game
Arizona: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Iowa State form

L 10-24at BYUW 45-42vs WVUL 17-31vs UTAHW 55-7vs BGSUL 13-16at IOWA
2026 season

Arizona form

W 52-31at WVUW 34-7vs CINW 34-24at WSUW 42-17vs NIUL 17-28at BYU
2026 season

Iowa State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Arizona this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentIowa StateArizona
Utah
Big 12
vs L 17-31 previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
West Virginia
Big 12
vs W 45-42 previewat W 52-31 preview
BYU
Big 12
at L 10-24 previewat L 17-28 preview
Cincinnati
Big 12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 34-7 preview
Kansas St
Big 12
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Iowa State leads 1–0 · Iowa State won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 25.0 points toward Iowa State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-09-27Arizona 14 — 39 Iowa Stateat ISUIowa State

Iowa State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJaylen Raynor QB #185/148, 1001 YDS, 7 TD, 4 INT
Aiden Flora RB #212/2, 48 YDS, 2 TD
RushingAiden Flora RB #2190 CAR, 680 YDS, 6 TD
Jaylen Raynor QB #151 CAR, 166 YDS, 3 TD
Arnold Barnes III RB #325 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDominic Overby WR #1110 REC, 212 YDS, 1 TD
Omari Hayes WR #917 REC, 208 YDS, 1 TD
Cody Jackson WR #210 REC, 191 YDS, 1 TD
Ty Claiborne WR #8910 REC, 103 YDS
Defense
TacklesSullivan Schlimgen LB #756
Carson Willich LB #1036
Brody Miller S #2422
SacksIsaac Terrell DE #883
Carson Willich LB #101
Jace Gilbert DE #551
InterceptionsBeni Ngoyi CB #51
Beau Goodwin LB #341

Arizona leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNoah Fifita QB #1124/168, 1415 YDS, 13 TD, 3 INT
Sawyer Anderson QB #76/11, 84 YDS, 2 INT
RushingKedrick Reescano RB #361 CAR, 218 YDS, 3 TD
Antwan Roberts RB #4416 CAR, 162 YDS, 1 TD
Quincy Craig RB #2422 CAR, 142 YDS
ReceivingTre Spivey WR #1222 REC, 314 YDS, 4 TD
Giovanni Richardson WR #516 REC, 187 YDS
Isaiah Mizell WR #1713 REC, 176 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Hunter WR #1113 REC, 155 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesTaye Brown LB #630
Cooper Blomstrom LB #4827
Malcolm Hartzog S #1520
SacksChase Kennedy LB #74
Jabari Mann LB #111.5
Cooper Blomstrom LB #481.5
InterceptionsQuinn Olson S #351
Cam Chapa S #131
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.