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Wk 9 · 2026

Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders — Wed, Oct 28

Wed, Oct 28 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN · CBSSN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 17 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential KENN by 5.5

What is at stake

A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Kennesaw St: -11.8#110
Efficiency margin
MTSU: -19.7#132
Kennesaw St: 24.2
Offense (pts/100)
MTSU: 20.0
Kennesaw St: 27.0
Defense (pts/100)
MTSU: 30.6
Kennesaw St: 65.6
Pace (plays/g)
MTSU: 56.8
Kennesaw St: 5.74
Yards / play
MTSU: 5.40
Kennesaw St: 5.67
Yards / play allowed
MTSU: 6.63
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Kennesaw St: 22.6
Points / game
MTSU: 20.8
Kennesaw St: 23.4
Points allowed
MTSU: 28.0
Kennesaw St: 376
Yards / game
MTSU: 307
Kennesaw St: 367
Yards allowed
MTSU: 421
Kennesaw St: 219
Pass yds allowed
MTSU: 196
Kennesaw St: 148
Rush yds allowed
MTSU: 225
Kennesaw St: 1.20
Turnovers / game
MTSU: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Kennesaw St form

L 26-27vs JXSTL 14-17at ARSTL 9-42at TENNL 17-31vs GASTW 47-0vs WGA
2026 season

MTSU form

L 0-55at KUL 13-23at JXSTW 27-20vs NEVL 26-28at MRSHW 38-14vs MUR
2026 season

Kennesaw St this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

MTSU this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentKennesaw StMTSU
Jax State
CUSA
vs L 26-27 previewat L 13-23 preview
Liberty
CUSA
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Delaware
CUSA
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Sam Houston
CUSA
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
FIU
CUSA
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Western KY
CUSA
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Kennesaw St won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.5 points toward MTSU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-09-27MTSU 16 — 24 Kennesaw Stat KENNKennesaw St
20242024-10-15Kennesaw St 5 — 14 MTSUat MTSUMTSU

Kennesaw St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRickie Collins QB #1103/150, 1042 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
Landon Varnes QB #26/7, 43 YDS
RushingRickie Collins QB #155 CAR, 246 YDS, 4 TD
Boogie Woods III RB #2447 CAR, 206 YDS, 3 TD
Latrelle Murrell RB #625 CAR, 167 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingBrayden Munroe WR #1119 REC, 299 YDS
Javon Rogers WR #1512 REC, 229 YDS, 1 TD
Zion Booker WR #420 REC, 161 YDS
Dylan Gary WR #1310 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesTywon Christopher LB #1136
Baron Hopson LB #4429
Cam Miller DB #1326
SacksUgonna Nwoha DL #553
Josh Anglin LB #181
Kai Russell LB #311
InterceptionsCam Miller DB #131
Tay'vion Lawson DB #51

MTSU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRoman Gagliano QB #1688/156, 913 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
RushingAntonio Martin RB #872 CAR, 385 YDS, 1 TD
Terrence Brown RB #918 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Roman Gagliano QB #1620 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy WR #331 REC, 335 YDS, 4 TD
Markus Allen WR #18 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
Neo Clifton WR #859 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Jones WR #68 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKorey Smith LB #2647
Jackson Lowe CB #231
Kalen Woods S #022
SacksJackson Lowe CB #21
La'Garrius Sims LB #420.5
Zeion Simpson-Smith DT #950.5
InterceptionsKalen Woods S #01
James Johnson S #111
Jason Hardy CB #211
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.